SPAL vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
133
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Moretti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Vitali P. 🟨,
  • 67', Spini C. , Rao E. ,
  • 67', Awua T. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 71', Parigini V. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 71', Fiordaliso A. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 73', Sala M. 🟨,
  • 77', Vitali P. , Gaddini M. ,
  • 77', Sala M. , Lipari M. ,
  • 81', Arena M. 🟨,
  • 82', Italeng J. , Pietra N. ,
  • 83', Migliardi F. , Sarpa A. ,
  • 87', Nador S. , Zammarini R. ,
  • 90+5', Rao E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Corona G. , Martinelli R. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
44.3%
Draw
28.4%
Pontedera
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • SPAL - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.24)
    3.24
    (3.26)
    3.37
    (3.04)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPAL - Pontedera?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • SPAL will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Karlsson O. (Injury) Paghera F. (Inactive) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Pontedera were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    16.03.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 2:1
    12.11.2023 SPAL - Pontedera 0:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    11.03.2025 Pianese - SPAL 0:1
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    Latest results of Pontedera
    05.04.2025 Pontedera - Lucchese 4:1
    28.03.2025 Pianese - Pontedera 0:3
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan Futuro - Pontedera 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pontedera - Pescara 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation