Result
5:2
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 24
- Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (418/477) | 75% (201/268) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.81 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.85 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (418/477) | 75% (201/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (83/103) | 61% (43/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 94% (16/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 3.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Sevinsky A. ⚽, Haraslin L. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Zeleny J. (Own goal),
- 25', 2 - 1, Haraslin L. ⚽,
- 41', Chalus M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Bewene A. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 58', Sevinsky A. 🟨,
- 64', Gning A. ↓, Kante H. ↑,
- 65', Haraslin L. 🟨,
- 67', Vojta M. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
- 67', Irving A. ↓, Martinec J. ↑,
- 67', Mercado J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 1, Vydra P. ⚽, Kuchta J. (A),
- 74', Sancl F. ↓, Musak A. ↑,
- 76', Kante H. 🟨,
- 80', Haraslin L. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
- 82', Holzer D. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
- 82', Chalus M. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
- 84', Pojezny K. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Planka D. ⚽, Jurecka V. (A),
- 90+8', 4 - 2, Zeleny J. ⚽,
- 90+10', Pojezny K. 🟨,
- 90+11', 5 - 2, Rrahmani A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sparta Prague
65.4% | Draw
20.7% | Baník Ostrava
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.44) |
4.58 ↑
(4.38) |
6.74 ↑
(6.33) |
7.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 6 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Sparta Prague (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Baník Ostrava (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Prague (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 2.
- Sparta Prague has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Knee Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Eneme S.
(Injury)
Mannsverk S.
(Yellow Cards)
Penxa O.
(Knee Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Injury)
Uchenna E.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Latal D.
(Knee Injury)
Sinyavskiy V.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Vindahl P.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Ortiz P.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sparta Prague will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:21. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:13. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Sparta Prague has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Sparta Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
27.09.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
0:3
18.05.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
3:2
05.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
1:1
02.11.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
14.05.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
2:1
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:25 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31:23 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | Hradec Kralove | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | Karvina | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Zlin | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Teplice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Bohemians | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
