Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Prague – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech 1 Liga Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague
Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 10
  • Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.61
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
72% (234/325)78% (360/459)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.54
Total shots
913
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
72% (234/325)78% (360/459)
Long passes
42% (32/77)42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
59% (52/88)65% (82/127)
Crosses
15% (2/13)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.71
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1113
Tackles
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
2722
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.540.52
Goals prevented
-1.460.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 12', Chalus M. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Panak F. , Kairinen K. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Birmancevic V. , Vydra P. (A),
  • 35', 0 - 3, Mercado J. , Vydra P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Plavsic S. , Planka D. ,
  • 48', Uchenna E. 🟨,
  • 59', Kairinen K. 🟨,
  • 64', Rrahmani A. , Kuchta J. ,
  • 71', Uchenna E. , Martinec J. ,
  • 71', Kairinen K. , Mannsverk S. ,
  • 77', Frydek Ch. , Owusu D. ,
  • 77', Munksgaard A. , Bewene A. ,
  • 77', Pira J. , Almasi L. ,
  • 80', Mercado J. , Kuol G. ,
  • 80', Panak F. , Zeleny J. ,
  • 89', Boula J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Baník Ostrava
11.3%
Draw
17%
Sparta Prague
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 24.2% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 23.9% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.
  • Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Prague's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-18.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.98
    (4.06)
    7.14
    (3.9)
    1.51
    (1.79)
    -10.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague?
  • Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Prague will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sparta Prague is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Boula J. (Illness) Kohut M. (Health problems) Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Rusnak M. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury) Mannsverk S. (Health problems)
    • There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Buchta D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Haraslin L. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague 3:2
    05.04.2025 Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague 1:1
    02.11.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 1:3
    14.05.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 2:1
    20.04.2024 Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava 4:3
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Latest results of Sparta Prague
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague1081122:101225
    2Slavia Prague1073021:71424
    3Jablonec1073016:61024
    4Zlin1052313:11217
    5Plzen1043317:10715
    6Karvina1050516:14215
    7Liberec1043315:13215
    8Sigma Olomouc104337:6115
    9Bohemians94239:10-114
    10Hradec Kralove1033414:16-212
    11Ostrava102357:12-59
    12Mlada Boleslav922515:24-98
    13Dukla Prague101457:14-77
    14Slovacko101366:13-76
    15Teplice101369:17-86
    16FK Pardubice100469:20-114

          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
          Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )