Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 10
- Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/325) | 78% (360/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/325) | 78% (360/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (52/88) | 65% (82/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', Chalus M. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Panak F. ⚽, Kairinen K. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Birmancevic V. ⚽, Vydra P. (A),
- 35', 0 - 3, Mercado J. ⚽, Vydra P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Plavsic S. ↓, Planka D. ↑,
- 48', Uchenna E. 🟨,
- 59', Kairinen K. 🟨,
- 64', Rrahmani A. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
- 71', Uchenna E. ↓, Martinec J. ↑,
- 71', Kairinen K. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
- 77', Frydek Ch. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
- 77', Munksgaard A. ↓, Bewene A. ↑,
- 77', Pira J. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 80', Mercado J. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
- 80', Panak F. ↓, Zeleny J. ↑,
- 89', Boula J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
11.3% | Draw
17% | Sparta Prague
71.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Prague's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Prague, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.98 ↑
(4.06) |
7.14 ↑
(3.9) |
1.51 ↓
(1.79) |
-10.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague?
Users Predictions:
Sparta Prague will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Prague will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Baník Ostrava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Boula J.
(Illness)
Kohut M.
(Health problems)
Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
Rusnak M.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Mannsverk S.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Buchta D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Haraslin L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Sparta Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Sparta Prague has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague were as follows:
18.05.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
3:2
05.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
1:1
02.11.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
14.05.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
2:1
20.04.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
4:3
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
