Result
3:2
18/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Championship Group - Round 4
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/292) | 77% (269/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (212/292) | 77% (269/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 66% (88/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | -2.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Sin M. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
- 7', 2 - 0, Lischka D. ⚽, Kohut M. (A),
- 25', Zeleny J. 🟨,
- 32', 3 - 0, Kohut M. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
- 40', Lischka D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', 3 - 1, Kuchta J. ⚽,
- 54', Holzer D. 🟨,
- 64', 3 - 2, Sadilek L. ⚽, Vydra P. (A),
- 65', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,
- 65', Holzer D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
- 76', Rrahmani A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 76', Sin M. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
- 80', Zeleny J. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 86', Preciado A. ↓, Penxa L. ↑,
- 86', Laci Q. ↓, Horak R. ↑,
- 89', Rigo T. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 90+2', Holec D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Baník Ostrava
38% | Draw
26.3% | Sparta Prague
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.65) |
3.57 ↑
(3.51) |
2.61 ↑
(2.46) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1.
- Baník Ostrava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sparta Prague is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Baník Ostrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Frydrych M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Birmancevic V.
(Ankle Injury)
Olatunji V.
(Yellow Cards)
Wiesner T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Ewerton
(Injury)
Kornezos G.
(Injury)
Rigo T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Haraslin L.
(Calf Injury)
Panak F.
(Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Sparta Prague?
Baník Ostrava has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Baník Ostrava?
Sparta Prague has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague were as follows:
05.04.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
1:1
02.11.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
1:3
14.05.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
2:1
20.04.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Baník Ostrava
4:3
12.11.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Sparta Prague
0:1
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Zlin | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Jablonec | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Karvina | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Plzen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Liberec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Slovacko | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Dukla Prague | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Teplice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Hradec Kralove | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
