Result
0:3
08/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 21
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (165/245) | 87% (517/593) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (165/245) | 87% (517/593) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 75% (143/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Irving A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 56', Zeleny J. 🟨,
- 62', Pisoja M. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 1, Rrahmani A. ⚽, Irving A. (A),
- 69', Irving A. ↓, Mannsverk S. ↑,
- 69', Kuol G. ↓, Haraslin L. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Mercado J. ⚽,
- 75', Machalik D. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
- 75', Pisoja M. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
- 75', Kanu S. ↓, Didiba J. ↑,
- 75', Nombil C. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 78', Mercado J. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
- 78', Rrahmani A. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
- 85', Cupak M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Haraslin L. ⚽, Vojta M. (A),
- 89', Kairinen K. ↓, Sochurek H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zlín
16.4% | Draw
23.9% | Sparta Prague
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Zlín - Sparta Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.73 ↑
(4.9) |
3.95 ↑
(3.87) |
1.56 ↓
(1.64) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zlín - Sparta Prague?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sparta Prague will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Prague will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 0.
- In recent matches, Zlín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sparta Prague is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zlín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zlín: Kolar J.
(Injury)
Penkevics K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Knee Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Eneme S.
(Injury)
Penxa O.
(Knee Injury)
Suchomel M.
(Broken Hand)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:38. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Sparta Prague?
Zlín has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Zlín?
Sparta Prague has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Sparta Prague were as follows:
31.08.2025
Sparta Prague
-
Zlín
3:1
26.11.2023
Sparta Prague
-
Zlín
2:0
29.07.2023
Zlín
-
Sparta Prague
0:1
25.02.2023
Zlín
-
Sparta Prague
2:3
03.09.2022
Sparta Prague
-
Zlín
0:0
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
