Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (248/316) | 86% (524/607) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (248/316) | 86% (524/607) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/92) | 71% (90/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Uchenna E. (Own goal),
- 7', 2 - 0, Darida V. ⚽, van Buren M. (A),
- 10', 2 - 1, Birmancevic V. ⚽, Rrahmani A. (A),
- 34', Uchenna E. 🟨,
- 41', Vydra P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Suchomel M. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 46', Darida V. 🟨,
- 60', Horak D. 🟨,
- 69', Petrasek T. 🟨,
- 70', Uchenna E. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
- 70', Vydra P. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
- 71', Sloncik T. ↓, Griger A. ↑,
- 76', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 83', van Buren M. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
- 83', Rrahmani A. ↓, Martinec J. ↑,
- 85', Chvatal J. 🟨,
- 87', Dancak S. ↓, Elbel J. ↑,
- 90+3', Horejs D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vlkanova A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kairinen K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hradec Králové
25.6% | Draw
28.3% | Sparta Prague
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hradec Králové's performance.Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Prague might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hradec Králové that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+20.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(6.38) |
3.69 ↓
(4.28) |
2.34 ↑
(1.44) |
-5.8%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Hradec Králové will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hradec Králové (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 0.
- Hradec Králové has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sparta Prague is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hradec Králové may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hradec Králové: Cmelik L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kodes P.
(Knee Injury)
Kucera J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Injury)
Haraslin L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Preciado A.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hradec Králové won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hradec Králové won against Sparta Prague?
Hradec Králové has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Hradec Králové?
Sparta Prague has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague were as follows:
09.02.2025
Sparta Prague
-
Hradec Králové
3:0
31.08.2024
Hradec Králové
-
Sparta Prague
0:2
17.03.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Hradec Králové
2:1
08.10.2023
Hradec Králové
-
Sparta Prague
1:3
18.03.2023
Hradec Králové
-
Sparta Prague
0:2
Latest results of Hradec Králové
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Plzen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Karvina | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Zlin | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:22 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Teplice | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
