Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/455) | 78% (248/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/455) | 78% (248/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (23/42) | 32% (10/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (68/95) | 62% (53/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Labik A. 🟨,
- 28', Zeleny J. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Sonne O. ⚽, Martinec J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ezeh L. ↓, Kahuan Vinicius ↑,
- 58', Vojta M. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
- 58', Haraslin L. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
- 59', Storman R. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 0, Mercado J. ⚽, Sochurek H. (A),
- 70', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 70', Kristan J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 71', Skyba Y. 🟨,
- 74', Sorensen A. ↓, Panak F. ↑,
- 74', Irving A. ↓, Eneme S. ↑,
- 82', Kacor P. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 82', Fleisman J. ↓, Milic N. ↑,
- 85', Kuchta J. 🟨,
- 90', Sonne O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sparta Prague
72.4% | Draw
16.7% | Karviná
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Prague's performance.Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Sparta Prague - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.4) |
5.64 ↑
(4.89) |
8.7 ↑
(6.61) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sparta Prague - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 4.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Sparta Prague is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M.
(Knee Injury)
Cobbaut E.
(Injury)
Penxa O.
(Knee Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Injury)
Vydra P.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Ayaosi E.
(Yellow Cards)
Sigut S.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Sevinsky A.
(Muscle Injury)
Vindahl P.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Prague won against Karviná?
Sparta Prague has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Sparta Prague?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Prague - Karviná were as follows:
02.11.2025
Karviná
-
Sparta Prague
2:1
15.02.2025
Karviná
-
Sparta Prague
2:3
03.12.2024
Sparta Prague
-
Karviná
4:1
10.02.2024
Karviná
-
Sparta Prague
0:3
27.08.2023
Sparta Prague
-
Karviná
3:1
Latest results of Sparta Prague
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
