Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sparta Rotterdam
20.3%
Draw
24.4%
Ajax
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 24.5% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 24.2% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (4.6)
    3.93
    (3.85)
    1.7
    (1.72)
    5.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ajax is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:37. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    22.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 0:2
    17.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 2:2
    09.12.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    19.02.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Latest results of Ajax
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4AZ Alkmaar633014:9512
    5Groningen640212:9312
    6Twente731312:10210
    7Sittard731312:12010
    8Nijmegen630319:1279
    9Utrecht630311:569
    10G.A. Eagles623111:929
    11Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    12Zwolle62136:9-37
    13NAC Breda62136:10-47
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie