Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports, Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (515/598) | 75% (239/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (515/598) | 75% (239/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (146/195) | 55% (46/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', van Aanholt P. 🟨,
- 36', Kitolano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Rugani D. 🟨,
- 55', Traore B. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 55', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
- 63', Edvardsen O. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
- 67', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 67', Kitolano J. ↓, Eiting C. ↑,
- 82', Young M. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
- 82', van Bergen M. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 83', Zechiel G. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
- 89', Taylor K. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Nassoh M. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Regeer Y. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ajax
64.7% | Draw
20.2% | Sparta Rotterdam
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-3%)
Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.39) |
4.7 ↓
(4.87) |
6.33 ↓
(7.24) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.
- Ajax is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sparta Rotterdam is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y.
(Groin Injury)
Henderson J.
(Yellow Cards)
van den Boomen B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Brobbey B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Zechiel G.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Ajax won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36:11 (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 2.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Ajax?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
22.12.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Ajax
0:2
17.03.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Ajax
2:2
09.12.2023
Ajax
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
19.02.2023
Ajax
-
Sparta Rotterdam
4:0
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
