Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 8
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
 New-zealand | ESPN |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/274) | 88% (504/570) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (208/274) | 88% (504/570) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 79% (122/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
- 45', Baas J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Lauritsen T. (Pen),
- 45+5', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Sambo S. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Kitolano J. ⚽,
- 60', Klaassen D. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
- 60', Moro R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
- 66', Oufkir A. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
- 74', Godts M. 🟨,
- 75', Heitinga J. 🟨,
- 75', Kitolano J. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
- 77', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
- 84', Sambo S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
- 84', van Bergen M. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
- 87', Mokio J. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Gloukh O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam
21.8% | Draw
23.2% | Ajax
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↓
(4.6) |
4.1 ↑
(3.85) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
5%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax?
Users Predictions:
Ajax will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K.
(Abdominal strain)
McConnell J.
(Health problems)
Weghorst W.
(Knock)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:37. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Ajax?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Ajax has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax were as follows:
27.04.2025
Ajax
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
22.12.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Ajax
0:2
17.03.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Ajax
2:2
09.12.2023
Ajax
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
19.02.2023
Ajax
-
Sparta Rotterdam
4:0
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Twente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
