Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
new-zealandNew-zealandESPN
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.67
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (208/274)88% (504/570)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.011.67
xG on target (xGOT)
3.112.19
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2135
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
98
Passes
76% (208/274)88% (504/570)
Long passes
59% (36/61)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
62% (62/100)79% (122/154)
Crosses
15% (3/20)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.482.54
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
89
Tackles
72% (18/25)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4745
Clearances
4419
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.193.11
Goals prevented
-0.810.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
  • 45', Baas J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Lauritsen T. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Rosa L. ↓, Gaaei A. ↑,
  • 52', 2 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Sambo S. (A),
  • 55', 3 - 1, Kitolano J. ⚽,
  • 60', Klaassen D. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
  • 60', Moro R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 66', Oufkir A. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
  • 74', Godts M. 🟨,
  • 75', Heitinga J. 🟨,
  • 75', Kitolano J. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
  • 77', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, McConnell J. ↑,
  • 84', Sambo S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
  • 84', van Bergen M. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
  • 87', Mokio J. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
  • 90+7', 3 - 3, Gloukh O. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Sparta Rotterdam
21.8%		Draw
23.2%		Ajax
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 24.5% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 24.2% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
    •

    Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.4 ↓
    (4.6)    		 4.1 ↑
    (3.85)    		 1.73 ↑
    (1.72)    		 5%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Ajax (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Ajax (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ajax will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) McConnell J. (Health problems) Weghorst W. (Knock) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:37. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    22.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 0:2
    17.03.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 2:2
    09.12.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    19.02.2023 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 4:0
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    27.09.2025 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 3:0 ✺
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5 ✺
    14.09.2025 Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Feyenoord 0:4 ✺
    23.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Sparta Rotterdam 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    30.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 2:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV24202270:294162
    2Feyenoord24153655:332248
    3Nijmegen24127559:401943
    4Ajax241110347:311643
    5AZ Alkmaar24116742:38439
    6Twente24911439:261338
    7Sparta Rotterdam24114931:40-937
    8Utrecht2487936:31531
    9Groningen24941131:32-131
    10Heerenveen2487940:42-231
    11Sittard24851136:43-729
    12Zwolle24761134:50-1627
    13G.A. Eagles24511837:39-226
    14Excelsior24751226:41-1526
    15FC Volendam24661226:39-1324
    16NAC Breda24571225:36-1122
    17Telstar24391228:41-1318
    18Heracles24521731:62-3117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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