Result
3:1
22/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (281/374) | 81% (353/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (281/374) | 81% (353/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (32/75) | 57% (38/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/122) | 66% (76/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Goes W. 🟨,
- 33', Goes W. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 34', Clement P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Boogaard K. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 46', Sin M. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
- 60', Hornkamp J. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
- 70', Kitolano J. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
- 70', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 78', Martes L. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 78', Clement P. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
- 78', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
- 79', Young M. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 0, Smit K. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, Zonneveld M. ⚽, Terho C. (A),
- 90', 3 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, Zoet J. (A),
- 90+1', Parrott T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
47.5% | Draw
25.5% | Sparta Rotterdam
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.57) |
3.73 ↓
(4.25) |
3.51 ↓
(4.98) |
5.6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.
- AZ has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- AZ might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Inactive)
Weslley Patati
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Clement P.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, AZ won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Sparta Rotterdam?
AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against AZ Alkmaar?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
02.11.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
AZ Alkmaar
0:1
26.01.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:2
24.11.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:2
02.03.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
AZ Alkmaar
1:1
17.09.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
