Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (345/439) | 77% (295/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (345/439) | 77% (295/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (35/80) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (94/142) | 61% (79/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Naujoks N. 🟨,
- 44', Toornstra J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
- 65', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 65', Naujoks N. ↓, Nadje C. ↑,
- 74', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 74', Clement P. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
- 74', Ltaief S. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 77', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
- 77', de Regt G. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 78', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 80', Carlen A. ↓, Janssen S. ↑,
- 90+2', Quintero T. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Oufkir A. ⚽, van Aanholt P. (A),
- 90+4', van Bergen M. ↓, Velthuis T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
36.1% | Draw
26.4% | Sparta Rotterdam
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.99) |
3.6 ↑
(3.58) |
2.49 ↑
(2.32) |
5.2%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 3 - 60%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- Excelsior is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sparta Rotterdam might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Henderikx S.
(Red Card)
Naujoks N.
(Inactive)
Schouten L.
(Muscle Injury)
Tielemans M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Duijvestijn L.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S.
(Knee Injury)
de Guzman J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Excelsior?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
17.02.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Excelsior
4:2
01.10.2023
Excelsior
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
05.03.2023
Excelsior
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:4
14.01.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Excelsior
1:0
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
