Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam
14/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
kenyaKenyaGotv
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN

Chances of winning


Excelsior
30.4%
Draw
26%
Sparta Rotterdam
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 26.8% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 26.2% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.99)
    3.67
    (3.58)
    2.19
    (2.32)
    4.9%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
    • Excelsior has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sparta Rotterdam has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sparta Rotterdam might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Henderikx S. (Red Card) Naujoks N. (Inactive) Schouten L. (Muscle Injury) Tielemans M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Duijvestijn L. (Injury) Martins Indi B. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Bronkhorst I. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury) de Guzman J. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior 4:2
    01.10.2023 Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 2:1
    05.03.2023 Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 1:4
    14.01.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior 1:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    16.08.2025 Excelsior - Feyenoord 1:2
    09.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior 5:0
    19.07.2025 Dordrecht - Excelsior 2:2
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV540117:8912
    2Ajax532010:4611
    3Feyenoord33008:179
    4Utrecht430111:389
    5Nijmegen530217:989
    6AZ Alkmaar32107:347
    7Groningen42029:906
    8Zwolle42024:5-16
    9Sparta Rotterdam42026:11-56
    10G.A. Eagles51319:906
    11Sittard31116:604
    12Telstar41124:6-24
    13FC Volendam50416:9-34
    14Twente41032:5-33
    15NAC Breda41032:7-53
    16Excelsior41033:11-83
    17Heerenveen40225:7-22
    18Heracles40041:14-130

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