Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 15
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.39
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
79% (275/347)81% (378/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.102.57
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2541
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
79% (275/347)81% (378/469)
Long passes
53% (32/60)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
66% (54/82)75% (136/182)
Crosses
0% (0/5)25% (9/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.10
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1110
Tackles
71% (15/21)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
4213
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
2.572.10
Goals prevented
2.571.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mito S. , Kitolano J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kitolano J. , Clement P. ,
  • 57', Santos A. , Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 57', Oufkir A. , el Meftahi Y. ,
  • 74', Holtby L. , Brym C. ,
  • 74', Nassoh M. , Leemans C. ,
  • 74', Paula R. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Kleijn M. , van Aanholt P. ,
  • 86', Balard M. , Ghalidi B. ,
  • 89', Hillen R. , Reulen P. ,
  • 89', Mito S. , Bakari S. ,
  • 90+1', Baas J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ghalidi B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sparta Rotterdam
40.4%
Draw
27.7%
NAC Breda
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 24.4% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24.1% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Rotterdam's form might have worsened.
  • NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.84)
    3.42
    (3.87)
    2.97
    (3.91)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Breda (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Sparta Rotterdam could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Ltaief S. (Inactive) Martins Indi B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda were as follows:
    07.03.2025 NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 0:2
    03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1
    08.11.2025 Volendam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV27222377:344368
    2Feyenoord27164760:392152
    3Nijmegen27147667:452249
    4Ajax271211452:341847
    5Twente271111545:291644
    6AZ Alkmaar27126947:42542
    7Heerenveen27117947:44340
    8Utrecht27108940:31938
    9Sparta Rotterdam271151133:47-1438
    10Groningen271051237:37035
    11Sittard271051242:50-835
    12G.A. Eagles27711945:43232
    13Zwolle27791136:52-1630
    14FC Volendam27761430:46-1627
    15Excelsior27751528:46-1826
    16Telstar27591335:45-1024
    17NAC Breda27581428:48-2023
    18Heracles27531932:69-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie