Result
0:0
05/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 81% (283/349) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/434) | 81% (283/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 65% (60/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Martes L. 🟨,
- 45', Baas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
- 46', Martins Indi B. ↓, Vianello G. ↑,
- 46', Baas J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 54', van Crooij V. 🟨,
- 55', Salama A. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 55', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 56', Balard M. ↓, Sowah K. ↑,
- 61', Hillen R. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 62', Paula R. 🟨,
- 75', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 77', Nassoh M. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
42.6% | Draw
27.1% | Sparta Rotterdam
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.38) |
3.5 ↑
(3.47) |
3.12 ↑
(2.86) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Sparta Rotterdam?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NAC Breda?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
07.12.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NAC Breda
1:0
07.03.2025
NAC Breda
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
07.12.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NAC Breda
0:2
03.08.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NAC Breda
2:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
