Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 15
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.39
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
79% (275/347)81% (378/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.421.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.102.57
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2541
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
79% (275/347)81% (378/469)
Long passes
53% (32/60)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
66% (54/82)75% (136/182)
Crosses
0% (0/5)25% (9/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.992.10
Throw-ins
1821
Fouls
1110
Tackles
71% (15/21)76% (13/17)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
4213
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
2.572.10
Goals prevented
2.571.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mito S. , Kitolano J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kitolano J. , Clement P. ,
  • 57', Santos A. , Duijvestijn L. ,
  • 57', Oufkir A. , el Meftahi Y. ,
  • 74', Holtby L. , Brym C. ,
  • 74', Nassoh M. , Leemans C. ,
  • 74', Paula R. , van Hooijdonk S. ,
  • 75', Kleijn M. , van Aanholt P. ,
  • 86', Balard M. , Ghalidi B. ,
  • 89', Hillen R. , Reulen P. ,
  • 89', Mito S. , Bakari S. ,
  • 90+1', Baas J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ghalidi B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sparta Rotterdam
40.4%
Draw
27.7%
NAC Breda
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 24.4% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24.1% 23.9%

Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(1.84)
3.42
(3.87)
2.97
(3.91)
5.4%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Breda (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Sparta Rotterdam could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Ltaief S. (Inactive) Martins Indi B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda were as follows:
    07.03.2025 NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 0:2
    03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    29.11.2025 Excelsior - NAC Breda 1:0
    22.11.2025 NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven 0:1
    08.11.2025 Volendam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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