NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda).

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.93
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Goal Attempts
11	17
Shots on Goal
3	5
Shots off Goal
3	5
Blocked Shots
5	7
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	7
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
Free Kicks
5	10
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
10	5
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
19	12
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	30
Passes
85% (432/508)	84% (337/402)
Passes in the final third
75% (147/195)	80% (94/118)
Crosses
14% (4/28)	28% (7/25)
Tackles
67% (6/9)	67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
21	42
Interceptions
8	15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Eiting C. ⚽, Lauritsen T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
62', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Omarsson E. ↑,
62', Fernandes S. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
62', Sowah K. ↓, Janosek D. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Sauer L. ⚽, Janosek D. (A),
67', Lauritsen T. 🟨,
73', Greiml L. 🟥,
74', Leemans C. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
80', Nassoh M. 🟨,
88', Eiting C. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
90', van Aanholt P. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,

Chances of winning

NAC Breda
30%

Draw
28.6%

Sparta Rotterdam
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.1%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NAC Breda's form might have worsened.

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (1.91)	3.33 ↓ (3.64)	2.3 ↓ (3.95)	5.3% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 47.1% – 83.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
Breda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sparta Rotterdam is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sparta Rotterdam will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Breda: Garbett M. (Injury) Lucassen B. (Yellow Cards) Mol L. (Injury) Paula R. (Injury) Valerius C. (Knee Injury) Van den Bergh J. (Yellow Cards) Versluis D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Kemper B. (Injury)
There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Kitolano J. (Muscle Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Breda won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.5:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Sparta Rotterdam?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NAC Breda?

Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:

07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 0:2

03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 2:1

Latest results of NAC Breda

01.03.2025 Utrecht - NAC Breda 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 NAC Breda - Feyenoord 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Waalwijk - NAC Breda 5:0 ✺

31.01.2025 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

25.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam

02.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II 4:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam 3:0 ✺

02.02.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 1:0 ✺

26.01.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

Which TV channels are streaming of NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra