NAC Breda vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam
Result
1:1
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 25
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.93
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1117
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
57
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
57
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
510
Offsides
01
Fouls
105
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
1912
Touches in the Opposition Box
2630
Passes
85% (432/508)84% (337/402)
Passes in the final third
75% (147/195)80% (94/118)
Crosses
14% (4/28)28% (7/25)
Tackles
67% (6/9)67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
2142
Interceptions
815

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Eiting C. , Lauritsen T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mito S. , Nassoh M. ,
  • 62', van Hooijdonk S. , Omarsson E. ,
  • 62', Fernandes S. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 62', Sowah K. , Janosek D. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Sauer L. , Janosek D. (A),
  • 67', Lauritsen T. 🟨,
  • 73', Greiml L. 🟥,
  • 74', Leemans C. , Kongolo T. ,
  • 80', Nassoh M. 🟨,
  • 88', Eiting C. , Clement P. ,
  • 90', van Aanholt P. , Thorisson N. ,

Chances of winning


NAC Breda
30%
Draw
28.6%
Sparta Rotterdam
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 26.5% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NAC Breda's form might have worsened.
  • Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NAC Breda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (1.91)
    3.33
    (3.64)
    2.3
    (3.95)
    5.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 47.1%83.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 1.
    • Breda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Sparta Rotterdam is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sparta Rotterdam will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Breda: Garbett M. (Injury) Lucassen B. (Yellow Cards) Mol L. (Injury) Paula R. (Injury) Valerius C. (Knee Injury) Van den Bergh J. (Yellow Cards) Versluis D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Breda: Kemper B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Kitolano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Breda won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 0:2
    03.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda 2:1
    Latest results of NAC Breda
    01.03.2025 Utrecht - NAC Breda 1:0
    15.02.2025 NAC Breda - Feyenoord 0:0
    09.02.2025 Waalwijk - NAC Breda 5:0
    25.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 3:2
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV11006:153
    2Nijmegen11005:053
    3Utrecht11004:043
    4AZ Alkmaar11004:133
    5Ajax11002:023
    6Feyenoord11002:023
    7Zwolle11001:013
    8Sittard10102:201
    9G.A. Eagles10102:201
    10FC Volendam10101:101
    11Heerenveen10101:101
    12Twente10010:1-10
    13Telstar10010:2-20
    14NAC Breda10010:2-20
    15Groningen10011:4-30
    16Heracles10010:4-40
    17Sparta Rotterdam10011:6-50
    18Excelsior10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie