Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 15
- Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (275/347) | 81% (378/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (275/347) | 81% (378/469) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (32/60) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 66% (54/82) | 75% (136/182) |
| Crosses |
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| 0% (0/5) | 25% (9/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.99 | 2.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 71% (15/21) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
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| 42 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
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| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.57 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 2.57 | 1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Mito S. ⚽, Kitolano J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kitolano J. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 57', Santos A. ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
- 57', Oufkir A. ↓, el Meftahi Y. ↑,
- 74', Holtby L. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
- 74', Nassoh M. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 74', Paula R. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 75', Kleijn M. ↓, van Aanholt P. ↑,
- 86', Balard M. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
- 89', Hillen R. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
- 89', Mito S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
- 90+1', Baas J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ghalidi B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam
40.4% | Draw
27.7% | NAC Breda
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Rotterdam's form might have worsened.NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(1.84) |
3.42 ↓
(3.87) |
2.97 ↓
(3.91) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Breda (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Sparta Rotterdam could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Ltaief S.
(Inactive)
Martins Indi B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Greiml L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NAC Breda?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Sparta Rotterdam?
NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda were as follows:
07.03.2025
NAC Breda
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
07.12.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NAC Breda
0:2
03.08.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NAC Breda
2:1
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
