Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam).

Eredivisie - Round 28
Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.71
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
84% (340/406)	83% (409/493)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.07	0.13
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
20	12
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
84% (340/406)	83% (409/493)
Long passes
49% (23/47)	41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
71% (65/91)	69% (71/103)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.57
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
56% (9/16)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
45	43
Clearances Total
33	26
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.13	1.07
Goals prevented
0.13	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', van Crooij V. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Mito S. (A),
41', van Bergen M. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
64', Lyratzis L. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
64', Sano K. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
65', Lauritsen T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
66', Eiting C. ↓, Kitolano J. ↑,
70', Nuytinck B. 🟨,
72', Proper D. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
74', van Crooij V. 🟨,
81', Sandler P. ↓, Larsen L. O. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Thorisson N. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
88', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
88', Hlynsson K. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
90+4', Verdonk C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sparta Rotterdam
53.3%

Draw
24.6%

NEC Nijmegen
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.

NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)	3.84 ↑ (3.64)	4.27 ↑ (3.06)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Sparta Rotterdam will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
Sparta Rotterdam is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Nijmegen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sparta Rotterdam will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Marquez I. (Groin Injury) Ogawa K. (Inactive)
Last 18 head-to-head matches Sparta Rotterdam won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.4:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NEC Nijmegen?

Sparta Rotterdam has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Sparta Rotterdam?

NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:

15.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1

24.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 2:0

01.09.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 1:1

28.01.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1

16.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0

Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam

29.03.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam 0:3 ✺

19.03.2025 ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam 0:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 1:1 ✺

07.03.2025 NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II 4:0 ✺

Latest results of NEC Nijmegen

29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1 ✺

09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 0:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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