NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 14
  • Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.42
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (291/380)74% (266/358)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.801.85
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3828
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
139
Passes
77% (291/380)74% (266/358)
Long passes
46% (29/63)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
64% (89/138)55% (48/88)
Crosses
11% (2/19)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
2.291.28
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
913
Tackles
61% (11/18)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5841
Clearances
3130
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.852.80
Goals prevented
0.85-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. (A),
  • 26', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 31', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Quintero T. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 2 - 0, Ogawa K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Ouaissa S. , Linssen B. (A),
  • 52', van Bergen M. , Oufkir A. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Lauritsen T. , Kitolano J. (A),
  • 70', Ogawa K. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 70', Kaplan A. , Willems J. ,
  • 70', Linssen B. , Proper D. ,
  • 71', Baas J. , Santos A. ,
  • 71', van Aanholt P. , Kleijn M. ,
  • 75', Sambo S. 🟨,
  • 84', Mito S. , Thorisson N. ,
  • 84', Quintero T. , Toornstra J. ,
  • 88', Sandler P. , Fonville D. ,
  • 90+2', Shiogai K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Young M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
58.4%
Draw
21.8%
Sparta Rotterdam
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 23.1% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 22.9% 23.2%

NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.63
(1.76)
4.36
(4.08)
4.81
(4.03)
5%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam?
  • Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.42%98.24%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
    • Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sparta Rotterdam has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: de Guzman J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Martins Indi B. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0
    15.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    24.02.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 2:0
    01.09.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 1:1
    28.01.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    23.11.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 2:4
    09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0
    02.11.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    25.10.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV16141150:203043
    2Feyenoord16111441:202134
    3Ajax1685330:201029
    4Nijmegen1684441:271428
    5Groningen1682624:21326
    6AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    7Twente1666425:20524
    8Utrecht1665527:21623
    9Heerenveen1655626:26020
    10Sparta Rotterdam1662817:31-1420
    11Zwolle1654720:36-1619
    12G.A. Eagles1646625:28-318
    13Sittard1653821:26-518
    14Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    15FC Volendam1635819:30-1114
    16Heracles16421026:41-1514
    17NAC Breda1634916:25-913
    18Telstar1626819:27-812

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie