Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 14
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (291/380) | 74% (266/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (291/380) | 74% (266/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (89/138) | 55% (48/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouaissa S. (A),
- 26', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 31', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,
- 45+6', Quintero T. 🟨,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Ogawa K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 3 - 0, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
- 52', van Bergen M. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Lauritsen T. ⚽, Kitolano J. (A),
- 70', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 70', Kaplan A. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 70', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 71', Baas J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 71', van Aanholt P. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
- 75', Sambo S. 🟨,
- 84', Mito S. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
- 84', Quintero T. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
- 88', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 90+2', Shiogai K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Young M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen 58.4% | Draw 21.8% | Sparta Rotterdam 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.76) |
4.36 ↑ (4.08) |
4.81 ↑ (4.03) |
5% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Sparta Rotterdam has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: de Guzman J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sparta Rotterdam: Martins Indi B.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Sparta Rotterdam?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NEC Nijmegen?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
15.12.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
24.02.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
01.09.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
28.01.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 43 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 41:27 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Groningen | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Twente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 24 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:31 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Zwolle | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20:36 | -16 | 19 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Sittard | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie