Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 23
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Suriname | QN Sports, SCCN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (204/309) | 73% (330/449) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (204/309) | 73% (330/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (31/82) | 34% (26/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (47/96) | 73% (127/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Chery T. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 28', Martes L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Martins Indi B. ⚽, Young M. (A),
- 65', Willumsson W. T. 🟨,
- 66', Fonville D. 🟨,
- 68', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
- 68', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 68', Onal B. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 73', Kitolano J. 🟨,
- 73', Clement P. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 75', Dasa E. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 84', Clement P. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
- 89', Misidjan V. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kaplan A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam
38.6% | Draw
26.6% | NEC Nijmegen
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(3.02) |
3.54 ↓
(3.6) |
2.72 ↑
(2.13) |
5.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.6% – 61.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Nijmegen (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 4 - 40%). Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Ouaissa S.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against NEC Nijmegen?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Sparta Rotterdam?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
29.11.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
3:1
06.04.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
15.12.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
24.02.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
01.09.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
