Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/403) | 81% (336/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/403) | 81% (336/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (37/71) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (91/135) | 70% (74/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Kitolano J. 🟨,
- 14', Quintero T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gooijer T. ↓, Aertssen O. ↑,
- 63', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 64', Santos A. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
- 73', Shoretire S. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 76', van Crooij V. 🟨,
- 80', Martins Indi B. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 80', Sambo S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
- 81', Oosting T. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Zonneveld M. ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 1, de Rooij K. ⚽, Namli Y. (A),
- 87', Kleijn M. ↓, van Aanholt P. ↑,
- 89', Buurmeester Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam
53.6% | Draw
23.1% | Zwolle
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.67) |
4.08 ↑
(3.95) |
4.09 ↓
(4.6) |
5.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 49.9% – 90.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Zwolle (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Rotterdam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 4 - 80%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Sparta Rotterdam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sparta Rotterdam is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Young M.
(Yellow Cards)
van Crooij V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Graves S.
(Yellow Cards)
Lagsir S.
(Muscle Injury)
Monteiro J.
(Muscle Injury)
Schendelaar J.
(Thigh Injury)
Voute D.
(Knee Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Thomas R.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Zwolle has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle were as follows:
08.11.2025
Zwolle
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
15.03.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Zwolle
1:1
30.11.2024
Zwolle
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
04.02.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Zwolle
0:2
12.08.2023
Zwolle
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:2
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
