Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle).

Eredivisie - Round 12
Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.94
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
77% (254/331)	84% (473/560)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	0.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.11
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
23	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
15	9
Passes
77% (254/331)	84% (473/560)
Long passes
49% (33/67)	56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
67% (66/98)	69% (120/175)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	1.34
Throw-ins
18	27
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
71% (12/17)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
56	52
Clearances
48	16
Interceptions
17	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.11	0.31
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, de Rooij K. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
58', de Guzman J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
60', Oufkir A. ↓, Mito S. ↑,
62', Quintero T. 🟨,
66', Oosting T. 🟨,
80', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
82', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
82', Martins Indi B. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
85', Quintero T. 🟥,
88', Kitolano J. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
90+4', Drommel J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Zwolle
36.5%

Draw
26.1%

Sparta Rotterdam
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

26.8%

37.2%

Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)	4.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 35.7% – 80.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Zwolle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2.
Zwolle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sparta Rotterdam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.
Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Fichtinger N. (Red Card) Gooijer T. (Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Injury)
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Sparta Rotterdam?

Zwolle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Zwolle?

Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:

15.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 1:1

30.11.2024 Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0

04.02.2024 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 0:2

12.08.2023 Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1:2

14.07.2023 Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle 3:1

Latest results of Zwolle

02.11.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 8:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 2:2 ✺

18.10.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 2:2 ✺

09.10.2025 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam

02.11.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar 0:1 ✺

30.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax 3:3 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	21	18	2	1	64:25	39	56
2	Feyenoord	21	12	3	6	51:32	19	39
3	Nijmegen	20	11	5	4	52:34	18	38
4	Ajax	21	10	8	3	41:28	13	38
5	Sparta Rotterdam	21	11	2	8	27:34	-7	35
6	AZ Alkmaar	21	9	5	7	36:35	1	32
7	Twente	21	7	10	4	31:24	7	31
8	Groningen	21	9	4	8	28:26	2	31
9	Zwolle	21	7	5	9	30:43	-13	26
10	Heerenveen	20	6	7	7	32:31	1	25
11	Sittard	21	7	4	10	31:36	-5	25
12	Utrecht	20	6	6	8	30:27	3	24
13	Excelsior	21	6	5	10	22:37	-15	23
14	G.A. Eagles	20	4	10	6	31:34	-3	22
15	FC Volendam	21	4	6	11	22:36	-14	18
16	Heracles	21	5	2	14	30:53	-23	17
17	NAC Breda	21	3	7	11	23:34	-11	16
18	Telstar	21	3	7	11	25:37	-12	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie