Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 12
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (254/331) | 84% (473/560) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (254/331) | 84% (473/560) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 56% (29/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (66/98) | 69% (120/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Oufkir A. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, de Rooij K. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 58', de Guzman J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
- 60', Oufkir A. ↓, Mito S. ↑,
- 62', Quintero T. 🟨,
- 66', Oosting T. 🟨,
- 80', Garcia MacNulty A. 🟨,
- 82', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
- 82', Martins Indi B. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
- 85', Quintero T. 🟥,
- 88', Kitolano J. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
- 90+4', Drommel J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
36.5% | Draw
26.1% | Sparta Rotterdam
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.63) |
3.66 ↑
(3.61) |
2.54 ↑
(2.48) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Zwolle (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2.
- Zwolle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sparta Rotterdam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Zwolle has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Sparta Rotterdam has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Fichtinger N.
(Red Card)
Gooijer T.
(Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Mito S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Zwolle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
15.03.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Zwolle
1:1
30.11.2024
Zwolle
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
04.02.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Zwolle
0:2
12.08.2023
Zwolle
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:2
14.07.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Zwolle
3:1
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
