Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (536/627) | 59% (160/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (536/627) | 59% (160/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 25% (16/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (108/150) | 43% (22/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Barco E. (Pen),
- 42', 1 - 1, Vasiljev D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Samoshnikov I. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
- 46', Garcia L. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
- 64', Kravtsov K. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
- 64', Ignatov M. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
- 71', Babic S. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
- 74', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 80', Umyarov N. 🟨,
- 81', Attiyat Allah Y. 🟨,
- 85', Kramaric M. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
- 85', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 86', Zaika K. 🟨,
- 86', Volkov S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Litvinov V. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Barco E. (Pen),
- 90+9', Solari P. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spartak Moscow
73.9% | Draw
17.2% | Sochi
8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-17%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Spartak Moscow - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.48) |
5.67 ↑
(4.7) |
10.93 ↑
(7.85) |
2.5%
(1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Sochi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3.
- Spartak M has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sochi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Spartak M may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Sochi?
Spartak Moscow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Spartak Moscow?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Sochi were as follows:
13.04.2024
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
1:0
16.09.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Sochi
1:0
10.02.2023
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
05.11.2022
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
