Result
2:3
02/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (240/316) | 87% (437/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (240/316) | 87% (437/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (42/62) | 71% (114/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Barco E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Vasiljev D. 🟨,
- 35', Kravtsov K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 58', Kamano F. ↓, Iljin V. ↑,
- 58', Kravtsov K. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
- 58', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Soldatenkov A. ⚽, Furtado G. (A),
- 62', Umyarov N. 🟨,
- 72', Ignatov M. ↓, Ezhov R. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Marquinhos ⚽, Ugalde M. (A),
- 81', Ugalde M. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
- 81', Fernandes G. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 81', Barco E. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
- 82', Volkov S. 🟨,
- 84', Denisov D. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
- 87', Marquinhos ↓, Litvinov R. ↑,
- 89', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Solari P. ⚽, Garcia L. (A),
- 90+4', Mukhin M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Furtado G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Solari P. 🟨,
- 90+9', Litvinov R. 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 3, Iljin V. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sochi
14.6% | Draw
22.1% | Spartak Moscow
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Sochi - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.64 ↑
(5.74) |
4.38 ↑
(4.09) |
1.53 ↓
(1.57) |
3.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - Spartak Moscow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
- Sochi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spartak M is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sochi: Mukhin M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak M: Zorin D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Spartak Moscow?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Sochi?
Spartak Moscow has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
30.08.2025
Spartak Moscow
-
Sochi
2:1
13.04.2024
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
1:0
16.09.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Sochi
1:0
10.02.2023
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
0:2
05.11.2022
Sochi
-
Spartak Moscow
1:1
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
