Nesebar vs Spartak Pleven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Vtora Liga Nesebar - Spartak Pleven
Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 27

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
63
Corner Kicks
91
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Yellow Cards
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, ,
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 16', 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 2, ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nesebar
38.4%
Draw
30%
Spartak Pleven
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 27.7% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.2% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nesebar's form might have worsened.
  • Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Pleven's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nesebar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Pleven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nesebar - Spartak Pleven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.92)
    3.06
    (3.23)
    2.9
    (3.47)
    8.9%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nesebar - Spartak Pleven?
  • Users Predictions: Nesebar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Recent matches Nesebar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Spartak Pleven is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Nesebar is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Nesebar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nesebar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nesebar - Spartak Pleven were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Spartak Pleven - Nesebar 1:0
    Latest results of Nesebar
    16.03.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar 0:0
    08.03.2025 Nesebar - Fratria 3:1
    01.03.2025 Sportist Svoge - Nesebar 0:0
    15.02.2025 Lovech - Nesebar 2:2
    Latest results of Spartak Pleven
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hebar11002:023
    2Vihren11002:113
    3Fratria11002:113
    4Marek11001:013
    5Pirin Blagoevgrad10101:101
    6Etar10101:101
    7Svoge10101:101
    8Yantra Gabrovo10101:101
    9Minyor Pernik00000:000
    10Dunav Ruse00000:000
    11Spartak Pleven00000:000
    12CSKA Sofia II00000:000
    13Belasitsa00000:000
    14Lok. Gorna10011:2-10
    15Chernomorets 191910011:2-10
    16Ludogorets II10010:1-10
    17Sevlievo10010:2-20

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