Result
1:2
08/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (229/326) | 73% (264/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (229/326) | 73% (264/364) |
| Long passes |
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| 27% (18/66) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 45% (30/66) | 54% (74/138) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (1/6) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (12/18) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Besic M. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Lincoln ⚽, Osei K. B. (A),
- 45+2', Radin M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Osei K. B. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Jovanovic S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Stojanovic S. ↓, Krsmanovic N. ↑,
- 67', Mboungou V. ↓, Todoroski A. ↑,
- 70', Osei K. B. ↓, Pavkovic D. ↑,
- 70', Lincoln ↓, Babic I. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Jovanovic S. ⚽, Mladenovic S. (A),
- 85', Jovanovic S. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
- 85', Mladenovic S. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
- 85', Mladenovic S. 🟨,
- 85', Besic M. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
- 88', Savic D. 🟨,
- 90', Savic D. ↓, Roux B. ↑,
- 90+4', Ramirez B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Subotica
32.3% | Draw
28.9% | Bačka Topola
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bačka Topola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Subotica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bačka Topola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.55) |
3.16 ↓
(3.25) |
2.37 ↓
(2.85) |
8.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bačka Topola will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Subotica: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Spartak Subotica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Bačka Topola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Bačka Topola?
Spartak Subotica has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Spartak Subotica?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola were as follows:
02.08.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
2:0
12.03.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
2:1
08.12.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Bačka Topola
0:0
04.08.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
16.03.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Bačka Topola
2:4
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 80:20 | 60 | 66 |
| 2 | Partizan ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 56 |
| 3 | Vojvodina ✔ | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 55 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 35 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Radnicki Nis | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Radnicki 1923 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | TSC | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Javor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Mladost | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 19:44 | -25 | 27 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 27 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
