Result
1:4
23/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Relegation Group - Round 32
- Referee: Stojanovic A. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (235/317) | 84% (408/484) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 3.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (235/317) | 84% (408/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/60) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 73% (103/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 38% (11/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Osei K. B. ⚽, Trajkovic A. (A),
- 13', Todoroski A. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Todoroski A. ⚽, Bosic R. (A),
- 29', Kuveljic N. 🟨,
- 33', Radin M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Krsmanovic N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Enzo ↓, Caju ↑,
- 60', Ebuka ↓, Miranovic N. ↑,
- 61', Jovanovic S. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
- 61', Mezei S. ↓, Milosavic M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Milosavic M. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
- 66', Kolaric D. 🟨,
- 69', Kolaric D. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
- 70', Trajkovic A. ↓, Babic I. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 3, Todoroski A. ⚽, Savic D. (A),
- 76', Petrovic B. ↓, Stancic A. ↑,
- 76', Todoroski A. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
- 80', Subotic L. ↓, Bilingi Y. ↑,
- 83', Petrovic A. ↓, Tomovic S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Savic D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Spartak Subotica
21% | Draw
26.2% | Bačka Topola
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Subotica's form might have worsened.Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bačka Topola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Subotica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bačka Topola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↑
(3.5) |
3.52 ↑
(3.3) |
1.75 ↓
(2) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola?
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 0.
- Spartak Subotica is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bačka Topola has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bačka Topola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bačka Topola is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Bačka Topola?
Spartak Subotica has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Spartak Subotica?
Bačka Topola has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Subotica - Bačka Topola were as follows:
08.12.2025
Spartak Subotica
-
Bačka Topola
1:2
02.08.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
2:0
12.03.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
2:1
08.12.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Bačka Topola
0:0
04.08.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
