Result
2:1
24/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Liga - Relegation Group - Round 32
- Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.38 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Passes |
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74% (296/402) | 69% (214/311) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.38 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.76 | 0.83 |
Total shots |
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6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 20 |
Passes |
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74% (296/402) | 69% (214/311) |
Long passes |
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29% (18/63) | 41% (26/64) |
Passes in final third |
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49% (34/69) | 55% (77/140) |
Crosses |
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17% (1/6) | 29% (8/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.42 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
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8 | 31 |
Fouls |
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20 | 18 |
Tackles |
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75% (9/12) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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45 | 56 |
Clearances |
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29 | 14 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.83 | 1.76 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Bukorac S. 🟨,
- 28', Lukic N. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Leo Antonio ⚽, Krsmanovic N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Saric M. ⚽, Ignjatovic U. (A),
- 55', 🟨,
- 62', Krsmanovic N. ↓, Babic I. ↑,
- 62', Leo Antonio ↓, Osei K. ↑,
- 62', Robertha N. ↓, Bijelovic L. ↑,
- 67', Karaklajic N. ↓, Marjanovic S. ↑,
- 74', Lukic N. ↓, Ubiparip V. ↑,
- 74', Kayque ↓, Mijic M. ↑,
- 76', Toseski M. ↓, Miletic V. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Osei K. ⚽,
- 79', 🟨,
- 82', Bukorac S. ↓, Lukovic A. ↑,
- 82', Krstic F. ↓, Bubanj M. ↑,
- 84', Ubiparip V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Subotica 41.7% | Draw 31.4% | Napredak Kruševac 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Subotica's form might have worsened.Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Subotica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.9) |
2.93 ↓ (3.35) |
3.41 ↓ (3.9) |
8.7% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spartak Subotica will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Subotica: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak Subotica won 0.
- Spartak Subotica is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Napredak is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Spartak Subotica have a series of guest games.
- Spartak Subotica will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak Subotica won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 17:29 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Subotica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:18 (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Napredak Kruševac?
Spartak Subotica has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Spartak Subotica?
Napredak Kruševac has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Subotica - Napredak Kruševac were as follows:
22.12.2024
Spartak Subotica
-
Napredak Kruševac
0:2
17.08.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Spartak Subotica
2:0
12.02.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Spartak Subotica
1:1
27.08.2023
Spartak Subotica
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:3
22.04.2023
Napredak Kruševac
-
Spartak Subotica
1:0
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crvena zvezda | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Sp. Subotica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Vojvodina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | TSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Cukaricki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Partizan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Mladost | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | IMT Novi Beograd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Novi Pazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Radnicki 1923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Radnicki Nis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Napredak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | OFK Beograd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Radnik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Javor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
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