Wisła Kraków vs Spartak Trnava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1 penalties
15/08/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
259
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
74
Blocked Shots
91
Corner Kicks
122
Offsides
81
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
1019
Yellow Cards
35
Attacks
130136
Dangerous Attacks
8757

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Sabo E. 🟨,
  • 5', Kiakos G. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Rodado A. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Duris M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Carbo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ujlaky M. , Kratochvil M. ,
  • 46', Pich R. , Ahl H. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Starzynski P. , Rodado A. (A),
  • 61', Sukiennicki O. , Gogol P. ,
  • 61', Kiss T. , Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ,
  • 67', Prochazka R. , Kubista V. ,
  • 70', Jaroch B. 🟨,
  • 74', Kiakos G. , Mikulec R. ,
  • 90+1', Zwolinski L. , Baena Perez A. ,
  • 90+1', Mikovic M. , Bainovic F. ,
  • 90+5', Kubista V. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 98', 3 - 0, Uryga A. ,
  • 99', 🟨,
  • 99', Sabo E. , Paur J. ,
  • 106', Zeljkovic A. , Corryn M. ,
  • 106', Starzynski P. , Kutwa M. ,
  • 107', 3 - 1, Duris M. , Azango P. (A),
  • 120', Frelih Z. 🟨,
  • Penalties (12 - 11)
  • 1, Uryga A. (Pen),
  • 1, Duris M. (Pen),
  • 2, Biedrzycki W. (Pen),
  • 2, Paur J. (Pen),
  • 3, Jaroch B. (Pen),
  • 3, Kratochvil M. (Pen),
  • 4, Rodado A. (Pen),
  • 4, Kosa S. (Pen),
  • 5, Carbo M. (Pen),
  • 5, Bainovic F. (Pen),
  • 6, Mikulec R. (Pen),
  • 6, Kubista V. (Pen),
  • 7, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. (Pen),
  • 7, Corryn M. (Pen),
  • 8, Gogol P. (Pen),
  • 8, Ahl H. (Pen),
  • 9, Baena Perez A. (Pen),
  • 9, Holik L. (Pen),
  • 10, Kutwa M. (Pen),
  • 10, Azango P. (Pen),
  • 11, Broda K. (Pen),
  • 11, Frelih Z. (Pen),
  • 12, Uryga A. (Pen),
  • 12, Duris M. (Pen),
  • 13, Biedrzycki W. (Pen),
  • 13, Kratochvil M. (Pen),
  • 14, Jaroch B. (Pen),
  • 14, Bainovic F. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Wisła Kraków
39.8%
Draw
26.8%
Spartak Trnava
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 26.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 25.7% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła Kraków's performance.
  • Spartak Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Trnava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Kraków that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Trnava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.75)
    3.47
    (3.55)
    2.81
    (2.35)
    7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Trnava will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 28.1%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.
    • Wisła is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Trnava is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Trnava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Kraków - Spartak Trnava were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Spartak Trnava - Wisła Kraków 3:1
    Latest results of Wisła Kraków
    Latest results of Spartak Trnava
    Draw
    Play Offs

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