Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Conference League Group - Round 35
- Referee: Minev V. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Berna ⚽, Lesniak F. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Xande ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Akere S. ↓, Maras A. ↑,
- 61', Minkov N. ↓, Popov I. ↑,
- 61', Balogiannis K. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
- 64', Xande ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
- 76', Amofa J. ↓, Videv I. ↑,
- 79', Mitev V. ↓, Ivey R. ↑,
- 81', Triboulet V. ↓, Batigi J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Ukaki E. ⚽, Maras A. (A),
- 87', Berna ↓, Granchov A. ↑,
- 90+2', Korosec A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Granchov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Varna
21% | Draw
24.3% | Botev Plovdiv
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↑
(3.56) |
3.82 ↑
(3.54) |
1.71 ↓
(1.96) |
7.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2.
- Spartak Varna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Botev Plovdiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Botev Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Spartak Varna: Granchov A.
(Injury)
Ivey R.
(Inactive)
Johnson K.
(Injury)
Kurokawa A.
(Inactive)
Lozev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Botev Plovdiv: Ujah A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Spartak Varna: Ilic C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botev Plovdiv: Nikolov G.
(Shoulder Injury)
- We predict that Botev Plovdiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Botev Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Plovdiv won against Spartak Varna?
Botev Plovdiv has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv were as follows:
04.05.2025
Botev Plovdiv
-
Spartak Varna
3:2
15.02.2025
Spartak Varna
-
Botev Plovdiv
1:0
24.08.2024
Botev Plovdiv
-
Spartak Varna
0:1
27.02.2024
Botev Plovdiv
-
Spartak Varna
2:1
17.04.2023
Botev Plovdiv
-
Spartak Varna
1:1
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Latest results of Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Lok. Sofia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Botev Vratsa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Montana | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Beroe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 |
| 11 | Arda | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | CSKA Sofia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Botev Plovdiv | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
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