Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna
Result
1:2
07/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Round 28
  • Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
166
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
20
Corner Kicks
82
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1316
Fouls
1214
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Berna ,
  • 30', Granchov A. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Strauss F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Lamy J. , Bizjak L. ,
  • 58', Banev K. , Petkov M. ,
  • 58', Abreu D. , Iliev D. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Petkov M. , Perea J. (A),
  • 72', Lesniak F. , Vutov A. ,
  • 72', Berna , Tsvetkov A. ,
  • 84', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
  • 86', Baurenski Y. , Akuowua G. ,
  • 86', Ivey R. , Xande ,
  • 90+5', Mitev V. , Konate P. ,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Plovdiv
42.4%
Draw
30%
Spartak Varna
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.1% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.6% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.12)
    3.1
    (3.42)
    3.32
    (3.19)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv is Parva liga (Relegation Group )
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:0
    10.10.2022 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:2
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets22006:066
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia21102:114
    3Levski Sofia11005:053
    4Lok. Plovdiv11001:013
    5Spartak Varna20201:102
    6CSKA Sofia20202:202
    7Beroe20201:102
    8Slavia Sofia10102:201
    9Cherno More10101:101
    10Lok. Sofia10101:101
    11Botev Vratsa20112:3-11
    12Botev Plovdiv10101:101
    13Dobrudzha10010:1-10
    14Arda10010:1-10
    15Montana10010:5-50
    16Septemvri Sofia10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
          Parva liga (Relegation Group: )