Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 7
- Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Serbia | SportKlub 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Umarbaev P. ⚽, Cova A. (A),
- 28', Pavlov T. 🟨,
- 33', Lozev D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pehlivanov Z. ↓, Yanchev E. ↑,
- 46', Halachev D. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
- 53', Marinov T. 🟨,
- 62', Ivanov D. 🟨,
- 64', Itu C. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 64', Iliev D. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
- 67', Ivanov D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
- 70', Pavlov T. 🟨,
- 76', Lamy J. ↓, Nikolaev N. ↑,
- 76', Umarbaev P. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
- 76', Ruskov M. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Berna ⚽, Budinov I. (A),
- 82', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Ruskov M. ⚽, Atanasov M. (A),
- 86', Perea J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pahama N. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Spartak Varna
20.3% | Draw
26.1% | Lokomotiv Plovdiv
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↑
(3.65) |
3.68 ↑
(3.35) |
1.79 ↓
(1.98) |
3.6%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- Spartak Varna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Spartak Varna has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Spartak Varna?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv were as follows:
07.04.2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Spartak Varna
1:2
23.10.2024
Spartak Varna
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1:0
10.10.2022
Spartak Varna
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0:2
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 | Ludogorets | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Beroe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Arda | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
