Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 7
  • Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
16
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
11
Total shots
815
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
79
Corner Kicks
36
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1616
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1112
Goalkeeper Saves
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Umarbaev P. , Cova A. (A),
  • 28', Pavlov T. 🟨,
  • 33', Lozev D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pehlivanov Z. , Yanchev E. ,
  • 46', Halachev D. , Pahama N. ,
  • 53', Marinov T. 🟨,
  • 62', Ivanov D. 🟨,
  • 64', Itu C. , Perea J. ,
  • 64', Iliev D. , Touma G. ,
  • 67', Ivanov D. , Budinov I. ,
  • 70', Pavlov T. 🟨,
  • 76', Lamy J. , Nikolaev N. ,
  • 76', Umarbaev P. , Atanasov M. ,
  • 76', Ruskov M. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Berna , Budinov I. (A),
  • 82', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Ruskov M. , Atanasov M. (A),
  • 86', Perea J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pahama N. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Spartak Varna
20.3%
Draw
26.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.7% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 26.6% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.88
    (3.65)
    3.68
    (3.35)
    1.79
    (1.98)
    3.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Spartak Varna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna 1:2
    23.10.2024 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:0
    10.10.2022 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:2
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets651013:21116
    2Levski Sofia651013:31016
    3Lok. Plovdiv74308:4415
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia74129:7213
    5Cherno More733111:5612
    6Lok. Sofia72416:3310
    7Botev Vratsa72416:4210
    8Montana72235:11-68
    9Beroe61327:11-46
    10Septemvri Sofia72057:15-86
    11Arda61328:626
    12Dobrudzha72056:10-46
    13Slavia Sofia71248:13-55
    14CSKA Sofia60424:6-24
    15Spartak Varna70435:9-44
    16Botev Plovdiv61145:12-74

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )