Gap vs Spartiates de Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
16/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue Magnus - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:08, 0 - 1, Dufek J. (G), Welsh T. (A), Valtonen J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:45, 1 - 1, Pulkkinen T. (G), Langlais C. (A), Matus R. (A2)
  • 07:46, 2 - 1, Matus R. (G), Panasenko B. (A), Pulkkinen T. (A2)
  • 15:25, 2 - 2, Da Costa T. (G), Cantagallo E. (A), Nsonsa-Kitala N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:49, 2 - 3, Dufek J. (G), Valtonen J. (A), Welsh T. (A2)
  • 19:56, 3 - 3, Mikrogiannakis D. (G), Gagnon R. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)
  • 1, Colotti F. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Panasenko B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Da Costa T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Pulkkinen T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Joubert P. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Mikrogiannakis D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Dufek J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Santerno L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Valtonen J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Orlov M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Santerno L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Dufek J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Panasenko B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 7, Da Costa T. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Gap
32%
Draw
21.7%
Spartiates de Marseille
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 22.3% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 23.9% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Gap - Spartiates de Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.21)
    4.23
    (4.16)
    1.97
    (1.9)
    9.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gap won 2.
    • Gap has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marseille is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Marseille is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Marseille will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gap won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 2.4:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gap won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 3:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap - Spartiates de Marseille were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Spartiates de Marseille - Gap 4:1
    16.09.2025 Gap - Spartiates de Marseille 1:4
    21.02.2025 Spartiates de Marseille - Gap 3:2
    03.12.2024 Gap - Spartiates de Marseille 4:3
    03.11.2024 Spartiates de Marseille - Gap 2:3
    Latest results of Gap
    13.01.2026 Briançon - Gap 4:2
    09.01.2026 Gap - Rouen 1:7
    04.01.2026 Anglet - Gap 5:3
    02.01.2026 Gap - Angers 1:4
    30.12.2025 Bordeaux - Gap 5:4
    Latest results of Spartiates de Marseille
    French Ligue Magnus Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Rouen ✔ 3827245155:7989
    2Grenoble ✔ 3824338172:8981
    3Angers ✔ 3722519136:8777
    4Bordeaux ✔ 39203313125:10869
    5Marseille ✔ 39174414118:11763
    6Nice39146514120:12959
    7Briancon38137513105:12158
    8Amiens39141618100:13450
    9Chamonix Mont-Blanc3811322294:14241
    10Gap377452192:13634
    11Cergy-Pontoise3883423108:12534
    12Anglet387432496:15432

          Promotion ~ Ligue Magnus (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Ligue Magnus (Play Out: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Rouen is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Grenoble is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Angers is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Bordeaux is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Marseille is Qualified for Ligue Magnus (Play Offs Quarter~finals)