SPG Wels vs St. Pölten – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 15
  • Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Schrocker K. 🟨,
  • 32', Stendera M. (Pen),
  • 35', Amoah W. 🟨,
  • 41', Messerer C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Conte K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luan , Obermuller P. ,
  • 48', Lechner F. 🟨,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Altersberger T. ,
  • 58', Lechner F. , Brugger M. ,
  • 67', Sylla S. , Muller P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bosnjak A. (Pen),
  • 85', Amoah W. , Ferstl V. ,
  • 85', Hausjell M. , Barlov D. ,

Chances of winning


SPG Wels
19.6%
Draw
25%
St. Pölten
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 24.7% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 20.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPG Wels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SPG Wels - St. Pölten Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (4)
    3.74
    (3.78)
    1.69
    (1.8)
    7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPG Wels - St. Pölten?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • SPG Wels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Pölten's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, St. Pölten is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPG Wels - St. Pölten were as follows:
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    22.11.2025 Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels 0:3
    07.11.2025 SPG Wels - First Vienna 0:0
    01.11.2025 SPG Wels - Bregenz 1:1
    24.10.2025 Stripfing - SPG Wels 4:3
    19.10.2025 SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II 3:2
    Latest results of St. Pölten
    07.11.2025 Admira - St. Pölten 2:1
    29.10.2025 St. Pölten - Rapid Wien 0:1
    24.10.2025 Liefering - St. Pölten 3:1
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira1797139:162334
    2A. Lustenau17104323:131034
    3Amstetten1788129:161332
    4St. Polten17102530:191132
    5Floridsdorfer AC1685323:101329
    6Austria Vienna (Am)1773721:25-424
    7Liefering1657424:26-222
    8First Vienna1655618:18020
    9A. Salzburg1654721:27-619
    10SK Rapid II1644818:26-816
    11A. Klagenfurt1653818:24-615
    12Kapfenberg17431020:35-1515
    13Hertha Wels1735916:25-914
    14Sturm Graz II1525815:28-1311
    15Bregenz1627720:27-710
    16Stripfing00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Relegation