SPG Wels vs St. Pölten – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 15
  • Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Schrocker K. 🟨,
  • 32', Stendera M. (Pen),
  • 35', Amoah W. 🟨,
  • 41', Messerer C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Conte K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luan , Obermuller P. ,
  • 48', Lechner F. 🟨,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Altersberger T. ,
  • 58', Lechner F. , Brugger M. ,
  • 67', Sylla S. , Muller P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bosnjak A. (Pen),
  • 85', Amoah W. , Ferstl V. ,
  • 85', Hausjell M. , Barlov D. ,

Chances of winning


SPG Wels
19.6%
Draw
25%
St. Pölten
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 24.7% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 20.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPG Wels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SPG Wels - St. Pölten Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (4)
    3.74
    (3.78)
    1.69
    (1.8)
    7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPG Wels - St. Pölten?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • SPG Wels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Pölten's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, St. Pölten is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPG Wels - St. Pölten were as follows:
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    22.11.2025 Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels 0:3
    07.11.2025 SPG Wels - First Vienna 0:0
    01.11.2025 SPG Wels - Bregenz 1:1
    24.10.2025 Stripfing - SPG Wels 4:3
    19.10.2025 SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II 3:2
    Latest results of St. Pölten
    07.11.2025 Admira - St. Pölten 2:1
    29.10.2025 St. Pölten - Rapid Wien 0:1
    24.10.2025 Liefering - St. Pölten 3:1
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Polten22142640:231744
    2A. Lustenau22125528:20841
    3Floridsdorfer AC23125631:141741
    4Amstetten231010335:241140
    5Admira22109347:252239
    6Austria Vienna (Am)23114829:28137
    7Liefering2287732:37-531
    8First Vienna2285925:23229
    9A. Salzburg2377930:34-428
    10SK Rapid II23751128:35-726
    11Hertha Wels23661127:32-524
    12Kapfenberg22641225:42-1722
    13A. Klagenfurt22651124:36-1220
    14Sturm Graz II22551221:34-1320
    15Bregenz22291128:43-1512
    16Stripfing00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Relegation