SPG Wels vs St. Pölten – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Austrian OFB Cup SPG Wels - St. Pölten
Result
2:3 penalties
26/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OFB Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Brugger M. ,
  • 36', Skogen S. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Thesker S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Conte K. , Cirkovic M. ,
  • 46', Castro A. , Gashi A. ,
  • 50', Dursun F. 🟨,
  • 50', Gobara P. 🟨,
  • 62', Dursun F. , Mane E. H. ,
  • 71', Obermuller P. , Muller P. ,
  • 75', Gashi A. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Krasniqi L. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 85', Stendera M. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Radics A. ,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', 🟨,
  • 104', Messerer C. , Kurt C. ,
  • 113', Feyrer S. , Luan ,
  • 116', Amoah W. , Buchegger L. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


SPG Wels
18.5%
Draw
24%
St. Pölten
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 26.1% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 25.5% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • SPG Wels - St. Pölten Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.96
    (4.3)
    3.91
    (3.53)
    1.67
    (1.75)
    5.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for SPG Wels - St. Pölten?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. SPG Wels will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). St. Pölten will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pölten: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SPG Wels (votes: 1 - 50%). St. Pölten (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by SPG Wels have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Pölten is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, St. Pölten is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    22.08.2025 Admira - SPG Wels 1:0
    15.08.2025 SPG Wels - Amstetten 1:0
    25.07.2025 Imst - SPG Wels 3:4
    Latest results of St. Pölten
    22.08.2025 Amstetten - St. Pölten 0:0
    15.08.2025 St. Pölten - First Vienna 2:1
    08.08.2025 St. Pölten - Bregenz 4:2
    25.07.2025 Kalsdorf - St. Pölten 0:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1MarchfeldJennersdorf6 : 1
    2VocklamarktBregenz0 : 2
    3Union GurtenWals-Grunau6 : 2
    4ParndorfRied0 : 5
    5SC ImstHertha Wels3 : 4
    6KalsdorfSt. Polten0 : 5
    7SV OberwartATSV Wolfsberger7 : 0
    8Wacker InnsbruckSK Rapid0 : 1
    9Donaufeld WienFloridsdorfer AC0 : 4
    10RetzStripfing0 : 5
    11HornA. Klagenfurt2 : 0
    12Wiener Sport-ClubLASK0 : 4
    13ASK VoitsbergAustria Vienna3 : 2
    14SC WeizAdmira0 : 3
    15SaalfeldenRothis1 : 2
    16BischofshofenSturm Graz0 : 4
    17KremserAmstetten1 : 2
    18TillmitschFirst Vienna1 : 3
    19ReichenauHohenems4 : 1
    20Wallern/St MarienkirchenWolfsberger AC1 : 3
    21KuchlA. Lustenau2 : 3
    22Dinamo HelfortKapfenberg1 : 2
    23LendorfSV Donau1 : 2
    24HirschwangAltach1 : 4
    25LauterachSchwaz0 : 5
    26TreibachBW Linz0 : 3
    27Atus VeldenNeusiedl3 : 2
    28LafnitzHartberg2 : 5
    29DornbirnGrazer AK1 : 0
    30DietachSalzburg0 : 4
    31OedtA. Salzburg1 : 0
    32TraiskirchenTirol0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1MarchfeldBregenz0 : 2
    2Union GurtenRied0 : 1
    3Hertha WelsSt. Polten2 : 3
    4SV OberwartSK Rapid1 : 2
    5Floridsdorfer ACStripfing1 : 3
    6HornLASK0 : 2
    7ASK VoitsbergAdmira1 : 4
    8RothisSturm Graz0 : 2
    9AmstettenFirst Vienna2 : 1
    10ReichenauWolfsberger AC0 : 6
    11A. LustenauKapfenberg0 : 2
    12SV DonauAltach1 : 3
    13SchwazBW Linz0 : 3
    14Atus VeldenHartberg0 : 3
    15DornbirnSalzburg1 : 3
    16OedtTirol1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1BregenzRied
    2St. PoltenSK Rapid
    3StripfingLASK
    4AdmiraSturm Graz
    5AmstettenWolfsberger AC
    6KapfenbergAltach
    7BW LinzHartberg
    8SalzburgTirol