SPG Wels vs St. Pölten – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 15
  • Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
54
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Schrocker K. 🟨,
  • 32', Stendera M. (Pen),
  • 35', Amoah W. 🟨,
  • 41', Messerer C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Conte K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luan , Obermuller P. ,
  • 48', Lechner F. 🟨,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Altersberger T. ,
  • 58', Lechner F. , Brugger M. ,
  • 67', Sylla S. , Muller P. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Bosnjak A. (Pen),
  • 85', Amoah W. , Ferstl V. ,
  • 85', Hausjell M. , Barlov D. ,

Chances of winning


SPG Wels
19.6%
Draw
25%
St. Pölten
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 24.7% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 20.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPG Wels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SPG Wels - St. Pölten Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (4)
    3.74
    (3.78)
    1.69
    (1.8)
    7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPG Wels - St. Pölten?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • SPG Wels has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • St. Pölten's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, St. Pölten is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, SPG Wels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPG Wels - St. Pölten were as follows:
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    Latest results of SPG Wels
    22.11.2025 Sturm Graz B - SPG Wels 0:3
    07.11.2025 SPG Wels - First Vienna 0:0
    01.11.2025 SPG Wels - Bregenz 1:1
    24.10.2025 Stripfing - SPG Wels 4:3
    19.10.2025 SPG Wels - Rapid Wien II 3:2
    Latest results of St. Pölten
    07.11.2025 Admira - St. Pölten 2:1
    29.10.2025 St. Pölten - Rapid Wien 0:1
    24.10.2025 Liefering - St. Pölten 3:1
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1A. Lustenau25145634:231147
    2St. Polten25144740:261446
    3Floridsdorfer AC26136737:172045
    4Admira251111349:262344
    5Amstetten261011537:32541
    6Liefering25108737:38-138
    7Austria Vienna (Am)25115930:31-138
    8First Vienna2597927:24334
    9A. Salzburg2689932:35-333
    10Hertha Wels25861134:35-130
    11A. Klagenfurt25861129:37-827
    12SK Rapid II25751329:42-1326
    13Kapfenberg25741428:45-1725
    14Sturm Graz II25561424:39-1521
    15Bregenz25391334:51-1715
    16Stripfing ✔ 00000:000

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