Result
3:1
09/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/417) | 76% (222/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/417) | 76% (222/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 38% (16/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 50% (24/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Garces C. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 20', Alfani R. 🟨,
- 23', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 35', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Aguilar R. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Nequecaur L. ⚽, Saba E. (A),
- 59', Succar M. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
- 60', Sandoval R. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
- 60', Barreto G. ↓, Arias Fierro S. D. ↑,
- 71', Illanes F. 🟨,
- 79', Nequecaur L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 79', Diaz R. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 79', Riojas H. 🟨,
- 85', Hohberg A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', 2 - 1, Hohberg A. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 1, Souza Espana C. ⚽, Arias Fierro S. D. (A),
- 89', Garces C. ↓, Yovera A. ↑,
- 89', Saba E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 89', Llontop M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
64.7% | Draw
21.7% | Sport Boys
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cienciano - Sport Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.32) |
4.3 ↓
(5.07) |
7.02 ↓
(8.47) |
7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Sport Boys?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Sport Boys (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cienciano will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 2 - 50%). Sport Boys (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 1.
- Cienciano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sport Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cienciano is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Sport Boys?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Cienciano?
Sport Boys has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Sport Boys were as follows:
17.09.2025
Cienciano
-
Sport Boys
2:2
19.04.2025
Sport Boys
-
Cienciano
2:2
30.07.2024
Sport Boys
-
Cienciano
2:0
18.02.2024
Cienciano
-
Sport Boys
3:2
28.10.2023
Sport Boys
-
Cienciano
2:1
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
