Sport Capixaba vs Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo Sport Capixaba - Serra
Result
2:2
07/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Espirito Santo - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', 1 - 0, ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, ,
  • 33', 1 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 2, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sport Capixaba
21.6%
Draw
23.2%
Serra
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 28.2% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.9% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Capixaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Capixaba's form might have worsened.
  • Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Capixaba than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Capixaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sport Capixaba - Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (2.38)
    3.92
    (3.25)
    1.64
    (2.75)
    10.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Sport Capixaba - Serra?
  • Users Predictions: Serra will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Serra will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In recent matches, Sport-ES has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Serra is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Serra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Serra has had a series of home games.
    • Serra could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Sport Capixaba
    Latest results of Serra
    04.06.2025 Serra - Porto Vitória 2:3
    25.05.2025 Vitória ES - Serra 4:0
    02.05.2025 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 0:1
    29.04.2025 Serra - Rio Branco AC ES 3:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Vitoria ES (1)Vilavelhense (8)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Real Noroeste (4)Capixaba SC (5)3 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Porto Vitoria (2)Serra (7)3 : 0, 2 : 1
    4Desportiva Ferroviaria (3)Rio Branco-VN (6)2 : 0, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria ES (1)Real Noroeste (4)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Porto Vitoria (2)Desportiva Ferroviaria (3)3 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria ES (1)Porto Vitoria (2)