Result
3:2
18/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 34
- Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/512) | 76% (260/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/512) | 76% (260/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (138/175) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Leo Pereira ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 24', Alex Telles 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 2, Rafael Thyere ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 30', 1 - 2, Artur ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
- 39', Ramos C. ↓, Barria K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jeffinho ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 46', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Barria K. ⚽, Danilo (A),
- 61', Lucas Kal 🟨,
- 65', Gabriel 🟨,
- 67', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 67', Matheusinho ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 68', Lucas Kal ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
- 78', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 78', Pablo ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 83', Aderlan 🟨,
- 87', Igor Carius 🟨,
- 90', Lucas Lima ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 90', Leo Pereira ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Barria K. ⚽, Danilo (A),
- 90+6', Barria K. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ancelotti D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
78.4% | Draw
14.2% | Sport Recife
7.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3%)
Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.33) |
6.66 ↑
(5.25) |
13.01 ↑
(8.63) |
4.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Recife will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 68.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Botafogo (1.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- EH -1 - Botafogo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo RJ will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3.
- Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Recife has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Botafogo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Barrera J.
(Muscle Injury)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Muscle Injury)
Montoro A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Inactive)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Sport Recife?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Botafogo RJ?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Sport Recife were as follows:
20.07.2025
Sport Recife
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
