Result
4:0
24/10/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 15 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 19 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Total Passes |
---|
520 | 462 |
Completed Passes |
---|
455 | 374 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Fabinho ⚽, Chrystian Barletta (A),
- 38', Heitor 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Felipinho ⚽, Igor Carius (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Heitor ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
- 46', Joao Villela ↓, Marlon Maranhao ↑,
- 59', Igor Carius ↓, Di Placido L. ↑,
- 59', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
- 64', Luan Dias ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 64', Matheus Bueno ↓, Pierre ↑,
- 75', Fabinho ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 75', Lucas Lima ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 76', Matheus Salustiano ↓, Lucas Adell ↑,
- 85', Bruno Mendes 🟨,
- 87', Felipe ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
- 89', 4 - 0, Chico ⚽, Fabio Matheus (A),
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 60.3% | Draw 27.1% | Guarani 12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sport Recife - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.45) |
3.45 ↓ (3.7) |
7.5 ↑ (6.75) |
6.8% (10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Recife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Guarani is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Recife is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Caique Franca
(Injury)
Denis
(Injury)
Palacios H.
(Injury)
Renzo
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guarani: Airton
(Injury)
Marlon Douglas
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Guarani?
Sport Recife has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Sport Recife?
Guarani has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Guarani were as follows:
07.07.2024
Guarani
-
Sport Recife
0:1
18.08.2023
Guarani
-
Sport Recife
3:1
07.05.2023
Sport Recife
-
Guarani
2:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
7 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 41:30 | 11 | 44 |
8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )