Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (250/322) | 86% (477/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (250/322) | 86% (477/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 53% (35/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (65/97) | 74% (93/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
- 18', Aguirre B. 🟨,
- 24', Ricardo Mathias ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 35', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 37', Toni Oliveira 🟨,
- 41', Oliveira S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero O. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Gustavo Prado ⚽, Thiago Maia (A),
- 62', Bruno Tabata ↓, Yago ↑,
- 62', Thiago Maia ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
- 68', Gustavo Prado ↓, Raykkonen ↑,
- 70', Oliveira S. ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 70', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 79', Lucas Cunha ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 83', Ronaldo 🟥,
- 90+2', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 90+2', Ze Lucas ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
37.7% | Draw
30.5% | Internacional RS
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional RS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional RS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Recife - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↓
(3.06) |
3.11 ↓
(3.28) |
2.99 ↑
(2.34) |
5.2%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Internacional will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sport Recife will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
- Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Internacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Internacional has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Recife: Paciencia G.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Carbonero J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
Valencia E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vitinho
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Victor Gabriel
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Internacional RS?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Sport Recife?
Internacional RS has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Internacional RS were as follows:
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
