Sport Recife vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
45.6%
Draw
28.8%
Náutico Capibaribe
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 28.9% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 26.8% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.02)
    3.18
    (3.18)
    3.58
    (3.57)
    9%
    (9.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
    • Recife is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Náutico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Náutico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife 4:0
    15.02.2025 Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 1:2
    06.04.2024 Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 0:0
    30.03.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife 0:2
    20.03.2024 Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 2:2
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1NauticoBye
    2Santa CruzDecisao1 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Sport RecifeBye
    4RetroMaguary2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1NauticoSanta Cruz2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Sport RecifeRetro3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1NauticoSport Recife