Result
01/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 45.6% | Draw 28.8% | Náutico Capibaribe 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.02) |
3.18 ↑ (3.18) |
3.58 ↑ (3.57) |
9% (9.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
- Recife is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Náutico is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Náutico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Sport Recife has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Sport Recife?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
18.01.2026
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Sport Recife
4:0
15.02.2025
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:2
06.04.2024
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:0
30.03.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Sport Recife
0:2
20.03.2024
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
2:2
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nautico | Santa Cruz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sport Recife | Retro | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final