Result
0:3
08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Pernambucano - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Iury Castilho ⚽,
- 19', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
- 24', Arnaldo 🟨,
- 38', 🟨,
- 40', Dodo 🟥,
- 43', 0 - 2, Augusto ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arnaldo ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
- 46', Auremir ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 60', 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 86', 🟨,
- 90+9', 0 - 3, Iury Castilho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Náutico Capibaribe
44.2% | Draw
30.1% | Sport Recife
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.42) |
3.02 ↓
(3.2) |
3.54 ↑
(2.77) |
10.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-3. Second leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2.
- Náutico is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Recife is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Náutico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Náutico could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Sport Recife?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Sport Recife has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife were as follows:
01.03.2026
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
3:3
18.01.2026
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Sport Recife
4:0
15.02.2025
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
1:2
06.04.2024
Sport Recife
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:0
30.03.2024
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Sport Recife
0:2
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Latest results of Sport Recife
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nautico | Bye | |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | Decisao | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | Bye | |
| 4 | Retro | Maguary | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nautico | Santa Cruz | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sport Recife | Retro | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Nautico | Sport Recife | 0 : 3, 3 : 3 |
