Sport Recife vs Náutico Capibaribe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe
Result
1:2
15/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Otusanya O. ,
  • 20', Lucas Lima , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 27', Muriel Becker 🟨,
  • 28', Wenderson 🟨,
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 34', Otusanya O. 🟨,
  • 40', Odivan 🟨,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 45', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Matheus Alexandre , Di Placido L. ,
  • 47', Igor Fernandes 🟨,
  • 63', Wenderson , Igor Pereira ,
  • 68', Felipe Santana , Indio ,
  • 75', Lobato L. , Atencio R. ,
  • 75', Otusanya O. , Helio Borges ,
  • 75', Patrick Allan , Kayon ,
  • 76', Marco Antonio , Kauan Maranhao ,
  • 89', Carlos Alberto , Pablo ,
  • 89', Hyoran , Dominguez F. ,
  • 89', Kauan Maranhao 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 2, Igor Pereira ,
  • 90+11', 1 - 2, Paciencia G. ,
  • 90+15', Dominguez F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
57.7%
Draw
26.4%
Náutico Capibaribe
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 23.9% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 23.4% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.49)
    3.45
    (3.87)
    5.69
    (6.59)
    10%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Recife is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Recife won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:23 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
    06.04.2024 Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 0:0
    30.03.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife 0:2
    20.03.2024 Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe 2:2
    24.02.2024 Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife 1:0
    04.03.2023 Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife 0:2
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    11.02.2025 Sousa - Sport Recife 1:2
    08.02.2025 Sport Recife - Maguary 5:0
    04.02.2025 Sport Recife - Fortaleza 0:2
    29.01.2025 Sport Recife - Jaguar 4:1
    Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2