Result
0:1
16/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/479) | 78% (242/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/479) | 78% (242/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (144/186) | 67% (46/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (5/39) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Juninho Capixaba ⚽,
- 24', Silva J. 🟨,
- 42', Dominguez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dominguez F. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 49', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
- 61', Fabinho ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 61', Jhon Jhon ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 62', Mosquera H. ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 62', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 62', Du Queiroz ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 70', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
- 74', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
- 74', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
- 82', Rivera C. ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
- 87', Borbas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
40.3% | Draw
30% | Red Bull Bragantino
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.53) |
3.18 ↑
(3.17) |
3.25 ↑
(2.86) |
5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 1.
- Recife has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently RB Bragantino have a series of home games.
- Recife will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Recife: Antonio Carlos
(Inactive)
Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Igor Carius
(Inactive)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabinho
(Inactive)
Fernando
(Tendon Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Thigh Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Paciencia G.
(Inactive)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eric Ramires
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Recife won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Sport Recife?
Red Bull Bragantino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 14 | Gremio | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
