Red Bull Bragantino vs Sport Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife
Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 23
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.52
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
98
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (253/314)82% (280/342)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.52
xG on target (xGOT)
3.060.90
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
98
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
169
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
81% (253/314)82% (280/342)
Long passes
47% (21/45)42% (16/38)
Passes in final third
63% (65/103)67% (65/97)
Crosses
44% (11/25)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.64
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1111
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
2127
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
78
xGOT faced
0.903.06
Goals prevented
-0.102.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ze Lucas , Matheusinho ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Eduardo Sasha (Pen),
  • 60', Matheus Alexandre , Aderlan ,
  • 60', Leo Pereira , Chrystian Barletta ,
  • 62', Viana V. , Kevyson ,
  • 66', Laquintana I. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 66', Eric Ramires , Matheus Fernandes ,
  • 67', Gabriel 🟨,
  • 73', Lucas Barbosa , Fernando ,
  • 78', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 81', Pedro Augusto , Romarinho ,
  • 85', Nathan Mendes , Hurtado A. ,
  • 85', Eduardo Sasha , Vinicinho ,
  • 88', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Derik Lacerda ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Red Bull Bragantino
53.2%
Draw
26.8%
Sport Recife
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.4% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.6% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.9)
    3.51
    (3.44)
    4.65
    (4.12)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife?
  • Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
    • RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Recife has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Hurtado A. (Knock) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Pitta I. (Hamstring Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Igor Carius (Calf Injury) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Luan Candido (Inactive) Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Sport Recife - Red Bull Bragantino 0:1
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    25.08.2025 Palmeiras - Sport Recife 3:0
    16.08.2025 Sport Recife - São Paulo 2:2
    10.08.2025 Grêmio - Sport Recife 0:1
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol251110442:251743
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino26961132:38-633
    10Gremio2689928:32-433
    11Internacional26881032:38-632
    12Ceara25871023:24-131
    13Vasco26861238:38030
    14Corinthians26791026:32-630
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet