Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/314) | 82% (280/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.04 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (253/314) | 82% (280/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/103) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ze Lucas ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Eduardo Sasha (Pen),
- 60', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 60', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 62', Viana V. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 66', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 66', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 67', Gabriel 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 78', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 81', Pedro Augusto ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 85', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 85', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 88', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
53.2% | Draw
26.8% | Sport Recife
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.9) |
3.51 ↑
(3.44) |
4.65 ↑
(4.12) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Bragantino will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Sport Recife?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife were as follows:
16.04.2025
Sport Recife
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
