Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 23
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.04 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (253/314) | 82% (280/342) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.04 | 1.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.06 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
81% (253/314) | 82% (280/342) |
Long passes |
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47% (21/45) | 42% (16/38) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (65/103) | 67% (65/97) |
Crosses |
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44% (11/25) | 25% (5/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.64 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Tackles |
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59% (10/17) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.90 | 3.06 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.10 | 2.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ze Lucas ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Eduardo Sasha (Pen),
- 60', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 60', Leo Pereira ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
- 62', Viana V. ↓, Kevyson ↑,
- 66', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 66', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
- 67', Gabriel 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 78', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 81', Pedro Augusto ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 85', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 85', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
- 88', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino 53.2% | Draw 26.8% | Sport Recife 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (1.9) |
3.51 ↑ (3.44) |
4.65 ↑ (4.12) |
5.3% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Bragantino will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Bragantino will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques.
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3.
- RB Bragantino is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Recife has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Pitta I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Igor Carius
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Luan Candido
(Inactive)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Sport Recife?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Sport Recife were as follows:
16.04.2025
Sport Recife
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32:38 | -6 | 33 |
10 | Gremio | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet