Sport Recife vs Santa Cruz Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pernambucano - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
133
Yellow cards
43
Total shots
106
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
133

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 38', Yago Felipe 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Eurico ,
  • 45', Eurico , Ianson ,
  • 45', Marlon Douglas , de Pena C. ,
  • 45+11', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Quirino 🟨,
  • 67', Yago Felipe , Pedro Martins ,
  • 68', Gustavo Coutinho , Ze Roberto ,
  • 71', Vitinho , Pedro Costa ,
  • 75', Rokenedy 🟨,
  • 78', Ze Roberto 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
54.6%
Draw
25.6%
Santa Cruz Recife
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 28.3% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 27.6% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.
  • Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.86)
    3.59
    (3.24)
    4.66
    (4.15)
    8.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.
    • Recife is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Santa Cruz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Recife is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife 0:1
    08.03.2025 Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife 2:0
    01.02.2025 Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife 1:0
    16.03.2024 Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife 1:0
    09.03.2024 Santa Cruz Recife - Sport Recife 1:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1NauticoBye
    2Santa CruzDecisao1 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Sport RecifeBye
    4RetroMaguary2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1NauticoSanta Cruz2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Sport RecifeRetro3 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1NauticoSport Recife