Result
2:0
22/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | GOL Peru |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/421) | 83% (392/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/421) | 83% (392/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (121/161) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (10/33) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Romero F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 0, Flores E. ⚽,
- 62', Tavara M. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
- 62', Wisdom I. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
- 69', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 76', Pacheco F. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 82', Flores E. ↓, Ancajima H. ↑,
- 82', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 82', Perez M. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Diego Churin ⚽,
- 88', Lora J. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
- 90', Urena R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
50.5% | Draw
27.3% | Sporting Cristal
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+16.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.49) |
3.42 ↓
(4.5) |
4.16 ↓
(5.75) |
7.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
- Uni de Deportes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sporting Cristal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L.
(Injury)
Sosa L.
(Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Sporting Cristal?
Universitario de Deportes has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Universitario de Deportes?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
23.10.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Universitario de Deportes
2:1
12.05.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Sporting Cristal
4:1
16.09.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:0
24.04.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Sporting Cristal
2:0
09.10.2022
Sporting Cristal
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:0
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
