Sporting de Gijón vs Leganés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Molinón (Gijón).

LaLiga2 - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.89	0.29
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	0
Passes
79% (336/425)	80% (345/430)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.89	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.67	0.00
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
2	0
Shots inside the box
6	2
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
19	5
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
11	16
Passes
79% (336/425)	80% (345/430)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	37% (28/76)
Passes in final third
68% (90/132)	54% (49/90)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.44
Throw ins
21	15
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
55% (16/29)	75% (12/16)
Duels won
74	48
Clearances
15	33
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	0.67
Goals prevented
0.00	0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Vazquez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Plano O. 🟨,
52', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
58', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
66', Asue L. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
66', Plano O. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
70', Figueredo S. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bernal J. ↑,
72', Dubasin J. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
83', Garcia N. ↓, Duk ↑,
83', Aguilar Lopez G. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
85', Campos G. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez D. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3xtkpcwj

Chances of winning

Sporting de Gijón
49.1%

Draw
28%

Leganés
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

28.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sporting de Gijón - Leganés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	4.08 ↑ (3.71)	7.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Sporting de Gijón - Leganés?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Leganés (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sporting de Gijón will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sporting de Gijón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Cuenca A. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)
There will not play in Leganés: Pulido R. (Knee Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Nacho Martin (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Sporting de Gijón won against Leganés?

Sporting de Gijón has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leganés won against Sporting de Gijón?

Leganés has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting de Gijón - Leganés were as follows:

20.12.2025 Leganés - Sporting de Gijón 0:1

18.05.2024 Leganés - Sporting de Gijón 2:1

16.12.2023 Sporting de Gijón - Leganés 1:1

04.02.2023 Leganés - Sporting de Gijón 1:0

19.11.2022 Sporting de Gijón - Leganés 2:2

Latest results of Sporting de Gijón

22.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón 1:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Huesca 2:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Eibar - Sporting de Gijón 1:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Leganés

21.02.2026 Leganés - Leonesa 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Córdoba - Leganés 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Leganés - Granada 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Leganés - Real Sociedad B 2:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
7	Castellon	30	14	7	9	49:37	12	49
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27
22	Cultural Leonesa	30	7	6	17	28:49	-21	27

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