Sporting Jacksonville vs Carolina Ascent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USL Super League Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.931.40
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
46
Passes
78% (372/476)72% (265/369)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.931.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.30
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1511
Passes
78% (372/476)72% (265/369)
Long passes
32% (16/50)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
56% (40/72)52% (55/106)
Crosses
25% (4/16)47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.392.08
Throw ins
2936
Fouls
1115
Tackles
55% (12/22)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4840
Clearances
3519
Interceptions
1512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
0.301.23
Goals prevented
0.300.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 1', Lester J. N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Smekrud K. , Illig M. ,
  • 59', Porter T. 🟨,
  • 66', Baisden R. , Corbin M. ,
  • 66', Coleman A. R. , Groom S. ,
  • 72', Groom S. 🟨,
  • 80', DeSmit B. , Pennock J. ,
  • 80', Puerta A. , Hunt J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Pennock J. , Kenton P. (A),
  • 86', Lester J. N. , Sullivan K. ,
  • 89', Martinez B. , Merrick A. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Jacksonville
36.9%
Draw
29.4%
Carolina Ascent
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 26% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Jacksonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Jacksonville's form might have worsened.
  • Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carolina Ascent's recent form is better than expected.
  • Sporting Jacksonville - Carolina Ascent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (1.9)
    3.1
    (3.5)
    2.71
    (3.5)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting Jax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sporting Jax won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Jacksonville - Carolina Ascent were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Carolina Ascent - Sporting Jacksonville 3:4
    13.09.2025 Sporting Jacksonville - Carolina Ascent 2:2
    Latest results of Carolina Ascent
    USL Super League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Jax W18104435:221334
    2Lexington W1779133:181530
    3Dallas Trinity W1673620:24-424
    4Carolina Ascent W1865722:23-123
    5Spokane Zephyr W1957719:20-122
    6Brooklyn W1747622:24-219
    7Fort Lauderdale W1847723:36-1319
    8DC Power W1647521:20119
    9Tampa Bay Sun W1729619:27-815

          Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)