Result
0:3
10/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV, Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', Moreira D. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Nel R. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Goncalves F. ⚽,
- 34', Ferreira T. 🟨,
- 37', Couto M. 🟨,
- 41', Goncalves F. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 3, Dias R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', da Silva Moreira I. A. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 46', Cunha N. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
- 46', Sousa A. ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 49', Rayan Lucas 🟨,
- 53', Dias R. 🟨,
- 54', Diego Callai 🟨,
- 58', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
- 58', Dias R. ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
- 62', Muniz J. ↓, Taibo Dominguez L. ↑,
- 68', Diego Fernandes 🟨,
- 70', Pinto J. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 74', Bruno Ramos ↓, Romulus ↑,
- 74', Goncalves F. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
- 82', Dias L. 🟨,
- 84', Costa D. ↓, Duarte R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
28.2% | Draw
29.4% | Sporting Lisbon B
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.99) |
3.15 ↓
(3.33) |
2.2 ↓
(2.29) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Paços de Ferreira (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon B will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sporting B (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
- Paços de Ferreira is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting B has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sporting B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Sporting Lisbon B?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon B won against Paços de Ferreira?
Sporting Lisbon B has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon B were as follows:
31.08.2025
Sporting Lisbon B
-
Paços de Ferreira
3:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
