Result
1:4
22/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+, Sport Live |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (254/312) | 91% (637/701) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (254/312) | 91% (637/701) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/39) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (57/82) | 85% (165/194) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.65 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽,
- 24', Inacio G. 🟨,
- 27', Santos N. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 2, Suarez L. ⚽, Morita H. (A),
- 65', Lincoln ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 65', Sandro Lima ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 65', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 3, Catamo G. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
- 72', Inacio G. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
- 72', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 75', Figueiredo ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
- 80', Gomez S. ↓, Baseya S. ↑,
- 82', Fresneda I. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
- 82', Suarez L. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Marezi ⚽, James I. (A),
- 85', Touaizi N. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 4, Goncalves P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alverca
9.2% | Draw
15.9% | Sporting Lisbon
74.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Alverca - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.25 ↑
(9.75) |
6.06 ↑
(5.57) |
1.26 ↓
(1.28) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Alverca - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 72.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +2.5 - Alverca (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 50%). Sporting (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Recent performances by Alverca have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Diarra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting: Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Kochorashvili G.
(Injury)
Mangas R.
(Knee Injury)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Araujo M.
(Injury)
Luis Guilherme
(Injury)
Taibo Dominguez L.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Sporting Lisbon?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Alverca?
Sporting Lisbon has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
31.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Alverca
2:0
28.10.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Alverca
5:1
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
