Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga BPI Women - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11, Sporting TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
45
Total shots
911
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Raysla N. , Amado C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Arques D. , Raphino B. ,
  • 63', Pauleta , Cameirao B. ,
  • 63', Bonsegundo F. , Claudia Neto ,
  • 77', Cancelinha E. , Lino S. ,
  • 77', Perez B. , Fontemanha R. ,
  • 77', Armengol C. , Santiago C. ,
  • 82', Moller C. , Costa C. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Encarnacao T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', Raysla N. , Tristao C. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
26.4%
Draw
27%
Benfica
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 21.8% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 23.3% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+19.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (5.75)
    3.36
    (4.2)
    1.94
    (1.47)
    10.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 3:2
    09.03.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    01.02.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    30.09.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:2
    23.08.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.12.2025 Damaiense - Benfica 0:2
    10.12.2025 Barcelona - Benfica 3:1
    06.12.2025 Benfica - Braga 3:2
    19.11.2025 Paris FC - Benfica 2:0
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SL Benfica W12102044:63832
    2Sporting W1274128:91925
    3Torreense W1270521:17421
    4Valadares Gaia W1253414:14018
    5Braga W1244419:13616
    6Vitoria Guimaraes W1235413:19-614
    7Racing Power W123458:15-713
    8Maritimo W1232716:30-1411
    9Rio Ave W122376:15-99
    10Damaiense W121389:40-316

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation