Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato Nacional - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV |
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
55.9% | Benfica
44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.79) |
|
2.08 ↑
(1.88) |
9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.
- Sporting has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Benfica is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 42:37. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 12 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
02.11.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
07.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
03.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
3:0
30.04.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
26.04.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
1:3
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Benfica
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 20 | 19 | 1 | 59:9 | 57 |
| 2 | Benfica | 20 | 18 | 2 | 55:8 | 54 |
| 3 | Leixoes SC | 20 | 13 | 7 | 44:30 | 38 |
| 4 | Academica de Espinho | 19 | 13 | 6 | 41:33 | 33 |
| 5 | Mamede | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Vitoria | 20 | 11 | 9 | 39:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Sporting de Espinho | 20 | 10 | 10 | 37:38 | 31 |
| 8 | Gondomar | 20 | 8 | 12 | 33:45 | 24 |
| 9 | Madalena | 20 | 5 | 15 | 28:48 | 19 |
| 10 | Castelo Maia GC | 20 | 5 | 15 | 29:50 | 18 |
| 11 | Clube K | 20 | 4 | 16 | 20:52 | 12 |
| 12 | Santo Tirso | 20 | 2 | 18 | 11:54 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Campeonato Nacional (Losers stage: )
