Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Taca de Portugal - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3, Sport TV5 |
Chances of winning
Benfica
42.1% | Sporting Lisbon
57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.21) |
|
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
8.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 0.
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.
- Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 35:43. (average 1.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 12 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 11 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
10.01.2026
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
3:1
02.11.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:3
07.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
03.05.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
3:0
30.04.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Vitoria | Santo Tirso | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Viana | Mamede | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Castelo Maia GC | Benfica | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Oeiras | Clube K | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Madalena | Sporting CP | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Ginastica | Sporting de Espinho | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Leixoes SC | AD Machico | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Academica de Espinho | Gondomar | 3 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Vitoria | Mamede | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Benfica | Clube K | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | Sporting de Espinho | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Leixoes SC | Academica de Espinho | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vitoria | Benfica | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | Academica de Espinho | 3 : 1 |
Final
