Oliveirense vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:86
28/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 9

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6266
Field Goals Made
2729
Field Goals %
43.55%43.94%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3836
2-Point Field Goals Made
2019
2-Point Field Goals %
52.63%52.78%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2430
3-Point Field Goals Made
710
3-Point Field Goals %
29.17%33.33%
Free Throws Attempted
2420
Free Throws Made
1518
Free Throws %
62.5%90%
Offensive Rebounds
1115
Defensive Rebounds
2127
Total Rebounds
3242
Assists
1520
Blocks
22
Turnovers
1215
Steals
74
Personal Fouls
2323

Chances of winning


Oliveirense
33.9%
Sporting Lisbon
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 60%

Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.72
(2.23)

1.4
(1.54)
8.4%
(9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Oliveirense will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oliveirense will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 82:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2.
    • Oliveirense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sporting has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Oliveirense will win today's game, with odds of 2.63.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1353:1451. (average 75.2:80.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 709:700. (average 78.8:77.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon 92:64
    26.04.2025 Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon 75:86
    22.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Oliveirense 80:70
    04.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Oliveirense 82:69
    22.03.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Oliveirense 73:85
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    20.12.2025 Oliveirense - CAQ Queluz 88:76
    14.12.2025 Illiabum - Oliveirense 63:85
    22.11.2025 Oliveirense - Benfica 88:98
    15.11.2025 Oliveirense - Esgueira 100:77
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    17.12.2025 Sporting Lisbon - PAOK 62:70
    14.12.2025 Imortal - Sporting Lisbon 82:89
    06.12.2025 Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon 95:87
    Portuguese LPB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Benfica111101076:79522
    2Sporting CP1192974:84320
    3Ovarense1183871:84819
    4Oliveirense1174950:89318
    5FC Porto1174987:93718
    6Esgueira1156963:99616
    7CA Queluz1147902:93015
    8Imortal1147935:93115
    9Braga1147834:92015
    10Vitoria1138901:96814
    11Vasco Da Gama1129887:104413
    12Galitos Barreiro1129931:110613

          Promotion ~ LPB (Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Proliga