Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga BPI Women - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Raphino B. ↓, Hernandez-Gray J. ↑,
- 45+5', Silva J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', Bravo A. ↓, Arques D. ↑,
- 60', Armengol C. ↓, Nave M. ↑,
- 63', Arques D. 🟨,
- 64', Martinez M. ↓, Duarte V. ↑,
- 65', Barbosa B. ↓, Correia M. ↑,
- 80', Monteiro S. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
- 80', Lakip J. ↓, Chauvet M. ↑,
- 85', Bonsegundo F. ↓, Tomaz A. ↑,
- 87', Parkinson E. ↓, Luis L. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Tomaz A. ⚽, Santiago C. (A),
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Tomaz A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Valadares Gaia
26.1% | Draw
27.8% | Sporting Lisbon
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valadares Gaia's performance.Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valadares Gaia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↓
(4.66) |
3.25 ↓
(3.9) |
1.96 ↑
(1.59) |
10.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 1.
- Recent performances by Valadares Gaia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sporting is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Valadares Gaia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:25. (average 0.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Valadares Gaia won against Sporting Lisbon?
Valadares Gaia has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Valadares Gaia?
Sporting Lisbon has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
27.09.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Valadares Gaia
2:0
30.03.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Valadares Gaia
2:1
15.01.2025
Valadares Gaia
-
Sporting Lisbon
3:2
15.12.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Valadares Gaia
3:1
09.11.2024
Valadares Gaia
-
Sporting Lisbon
0:1
Latest results of Valadares Gaia
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Portuguese Liga BPI Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SL Benfica W | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 44:6 | 38 | 32 |
| 2 | Sporting W | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Torreense W | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Braga W | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 7 | Racing Power W | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 13 |
| 8 | Maritimo W | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:30 | -14 | 11 |
| 9 | Rio Ave W | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Damaiense W | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:40 | -31 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
