Valadares Gaia vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
11/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Taça da Liga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Yellow cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Aniwaa L. 🟨,
  • 61', Santos D. , Stone M. ,
  • 61', Correia M. , Lakip J. ,
  • 69', Bonsegundo F. , Claudia Neto ,
  • 69', Nave M. , Tomaz A. ,
  • 73', Stone M. 🟨,
  • 77', Perez B. , Eaton-Collins G. ,
  • 77', Hernandez-Gray J. , Bravo A. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Claudia Neto ,
  • 81', Aniwaa L. , Ferreira C. ,
  • 81', Barge I. , Teles A. ,
  • 81', Monteiro S. , Luis L. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lakip J. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 0)
  • 1, Parkinson E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Bravo A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Martinez M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Claudia Neto (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Teles A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Santiago C. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Valadares Gaia
23.5%
Draw
29.3%
Sporting Lisbon
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 28% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 27.7% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.88
    (3.76)
    3.12
    (3.24)
    1.93
    (1.9)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 1.
    • Valadares Gaia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Sporting is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:27. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon 0:2
    27.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Valadares Gaia 2:0
    30.03.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Valadares Gaia 2:1
    15.01.2025 Valadares Gaia - Sporting Lisbon 3:2
    15.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Valadares Gaia 3:1
    Latest results of Valadares Gaia
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Torreense WSL Benfica W1 : 0
    2Valadares Gaia WSporting W2 : 1

    Final
    1Torreense WValadares Gaia W