Fernando de la Mora vs Sportivo Carapeguá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Division Intermedia Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá
Result
3:2
18/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Intermedia - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Pacheco W. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Villamayor Achucarro G. A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Colman D. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Ramos I. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Berrio V. ,

Chances of winning


Fernando de la Mora
39.9%
Draw
28.6%
Sportivo Carapeguá
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 28.4% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 27.1% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fernando de la Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fernando de la Mora's performance.
  • Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernando de la Mora than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fernando de la Mora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Carapeguá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (3.54)
    3.24
    (3.25)
    2.94
    (2.02)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Fernando de la Mora is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carapeguá is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carapeguá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fernando de la Mora won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Fernando de la Mora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora 0:0
    09.09.2024 Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora 2:1
    21.07.2024 Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Carapeguá 0:0
    28.08.2023 Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora 1:1
    Paraguayan Division Intermedia Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rubio Nu24138336:171947
    212 de Junio24119432:201242
    3Dep. Capiata23117528:141440
    4San Lorenzo23115731:211038
    5River Plate24712529:27233
    6Tacuary2396822:26-433
    7Resistencia23711537:35232
    8Pastoreo2479825:28-330
    9Encarnacion FC2479826:30-430
    10Sp. Carapegua23611631:33-229
    11Guairena23841130:30028
    12Deportivo Santani23671023:29-625
    13Sol de America24510922:31-925
    14Guarani de Fram24411930:37-723
    15Independiente FBC23651225:33-823
    16Fernando de la Mora24481218:34-1620

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