Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Porro E. ⚽,
- 19', Porro E. 🟨,
- 38', Daivez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Davila M. 🟨,
- 52', Davila M. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 53', Daivez A. 🟨,
- 53', Daivez A. 🟥,
- 55', Aguerre F. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
- 55', Cabrera A. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
- 55', Meza A. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 67', Ordano A. ↓, Gauna I. ↑,
- 68', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
- 69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
- 72', Laborda L. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 73', Porro E. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
- 75', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 86', Casasola N. ↓, Rapp A. ↑,
- 86', Sosa S. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Zeineddin N. ⚽,
- 90+4', Aguirre F. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Gomez F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Merlo
46.7% | Draw
31.8% | Sportivo Italiano
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Merlo's form might have worsened.Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.72) |
2.89 ↓
(3.4) |
4.27 ↓
(4.56) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 0.
- Deportivo Merlo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Italiano is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportivo Merlo is the team to beat.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Merlo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Merlo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against Deportivo Merlo?
Sportivo Italiano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano were as follows:
20.07.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
02.03.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Brown Adrogue | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Acassuso | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Real Pilar | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Villa San Carlos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Laferrere | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Sportivo Italiano | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Sacachispas | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Flandria | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Argentino de Quilmes | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Comunicaciones | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Villa Dalmine | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | UAI Urquiza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Fenix | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Liniers | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Dep. Merlo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 21 | Dock Sud | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
