Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Merlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
410
Yellow Cards
17
Red Cards
01
Total shots
54
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Mendez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cipresso F. , Torres A. ,
  • 46', Davila M. , Laborda L. ,
  • 50', Mendez M. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez S. 🟨,
  • 62', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Mozzone E. ,
  • 68', Gonzalez F. , Arellano L. ,
  • 69', Aguerre F. , Meza A. ,
  • 73', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 79', Cao R. 🟨,
  • 86', Meza A. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 89', Benega S. , Ordano A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Italiano
43.6%
Draw
31.2%
Deportivo Merlo
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 30.5% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 30% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.04)
    2.96
    (3.03)
    3.65
    (3.81)
    8.5%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sportivo Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sportivo Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 1:2
    20.07.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano 1:1
    02.03.2024 Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo 1:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Italiano43105:2310
    2Argentino de Merlo43014:139
    3Excursionistas32104:227
    4Laferrere42116:517
    5Talleres (R.E)42113:217
    6Villa Dalmine32013:126
    7Real Pilar32014:316
    8Flandria42026:606
    9San Martin Burzaco41217:525
    10Arsenal Sarandi31204:225
    11Brown Adrogue41213:4-15
    12Villa San Carlos41126:604
    13Dep. Merlo31112:204
    14Liniers31112:204
    15Deportivo Armenio41123:4-14
    16Comunicaciones31112:3-14
    17UAI Urquiza30300:003
    18Defensores Unidos30211:2-12
    19Argentino de Quilmes30121:3-21
    20Dock Sud30121:3-21
    21Deportivo Camioneros30120:3-31
    22Ituzaingo40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )