Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Mendez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cipresso F. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 46', Davila M. ↓, Laborda L. ↑,
- 50', Mendez M. 🟨,
- 61', Perez S. 🟨,
- 62', Ferreyra F. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 0, Mozzone E. ⚽,
- 68', Gonzalez F. ↓, Arellano L. ↑,
- 69', Aguerre F. ↓, Meza A. ↑,
- 73', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 79', Cao R. 🟨,
- 86', Meza A. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 89', Benega S. ↓, Ordano A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Italiano
43.6% | Draw
31.2% | Deportivo Merlo
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.04) |
2.96 ↓
(3.03) |
3.65 ↓
(3.81) |
8.5%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Sportivo Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Sportivo Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Italiano won against Deportivo Merlo?
Sportivo Italiano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Merlo won against Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Merlo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
03.05.2025
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:2
20.07.2024
Deportivo Merlo
-
Sportivo Italiano
1:1
02.03.2024
Sportivo Italiano
-
Deportivo Merlo
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo Italiano
Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
Argentinian Primera B Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midland | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Armenio | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Real Pilar | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Flandria | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Villa San Carlos | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Laferrere | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 22 |
| 8 | San Martin Burzaco | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Argentino de Merlo | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Brown Adrogue | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Sacachispas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 13 | Villa Dalmine | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:15 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 17 |
| 17 | Liniers | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Dock Sud | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 13 |
| 19 | Dep. Merlo | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 20 | Fenix | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)
