Result
2:1
01/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (100/191) | 82% (431/523) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (100/191) | 82% (431/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (38/79) | 69% (108/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Romero F. ⚽, Gonzalez C. (A),
- 20', Canete A. 🟨,
- 45', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 46', Cardozo F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 55', Canete A. ↓, Benitez C. ↑,
- 56', Rayer T. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
- 58', Chala A. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 67', Perez R. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Morinigo A. ⚽,
- 69', Villalba D. 🟨,
- 70', Valdez B. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Alcaraz A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Morinigo A. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 79', Mendoza S. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
- 82', Quintana H. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 90+2', Dufour M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
23.1% | Draw
28.2% | Olimpia Asuncion
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)The ML Model estimate for Olimpia Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.
Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(3.79) |
3.3 ↓
(3.49) |
1.92
(1.92) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Olimpia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1.
- Sportivo Trinidense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olimpia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
04.03.2026
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
01.02.2026
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
3:2
19.09.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
13.07.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Olimpia Asuncion
4:3
28.04.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
