Springfield Thunderbirds vs Charlotte Checkers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2519
Shooting PCT
20% (5/25)5.26% (1/19)
Goalkeeper Saves
1820
Saves PCT
94.74% (18/19)80% (20/25)
Penalties
56
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:20, 1 - 0, Dean Z. (G), McGing H. (A), Wagner C. (A2)
  • 18:57, 2 - 0, Rosen C. (G), Stenberg O. (A), Peca M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 04:30, 3 - 0, Kaskimaki A. (G), Stenberg O. (A),
  • 05:22, 3 - 1, Gregor N. (G), Pinho B. (A), Smith N. (A2)
  • 06:25, 4 - 1, Peterson D. (G), Stancl J. (A), Pekarcik J. (A2)
  • 07:20, 5 - 1, McGing H. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Springfield Thunderbirds
27.6%
Draw
21.3%
Charlotte Checkers
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 22.5% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 27.2% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Checkers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.14)
    4.34
    (4)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    7.8%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Springfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Springfield has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 55:82. (average 2.8:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 2.3:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers 2:3
    14.01.2026 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 8:2
    13.01.2026 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 8:2
    21.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:3
    20.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 1:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )