Springfield Thunderbirds vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Chances of winning


Springfield Thunderbirds
39%
Draw
22.6%
Hershey Bears
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 22% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 23% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Springfield Thunderbirds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hershey Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.66)
    4.09
    (4.22)
    2.4
    (2.16)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1.
    • Springfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hershey's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Springfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Springfield will win today's game, with odds of 2.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 45:71. (average 2.3:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 2.4:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears 2:3
    19.10.2025 Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds 1:5
    18.10.2025 Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds 5:1
    19.03.2025 Springfield Thunderbirds - Hershey Bears 2:4
    10.11.2024 Hershey Bears - Springfield Thunderbirds 3:2
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 653713114220:146101
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 66319521219:17885
    4Bridgeport Islanders65236828194:20066
    5Hershey Bears65226928186:21165
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 65398513222:13799
    2Chicago Wolves642381419200:20176
    3Texas Stars64249427195:20570
    4Manitoba Moose63274626157:17968
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs65188534178:21757
    7Iowa Wild63166932152:20053


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 66339519218:17789
    2Colorado Eagles653181016217:16988
    3San Jose Barracuda64299422219:19380
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds642512522214:19779
    5Bakersfield Condors642681020215:20378
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls652461223197:20072
    8Tucson Roadrunners641812925202:21469
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies652571023207:20574
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans63217926194:20065
    6Utica Comets652141030174:20560
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )