Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, Asia Cup T20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Cricket Asia Cup T20 Pakistan - Sri Lanka
Result
138:133
23/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Asia Cup T20 - Winners stage

Chances of winning


Pakistan
64.9%
Sri Lanka
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakistan's performance.
  • Sri Lanka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sri Lanka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakistan than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakistan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sri Lanka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pakistan - Sri Lanka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.9)

    3.56
    (1.8)
    0.8%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakistan won 3.
    • Pakistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sri Lanka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pakistan could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Pakistan will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakistan won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5346:4855. (average 267.3:242.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakistan - Sri Lanka were as follows:
    10.10.2023 Pakistan - Sri Lanka 345:344
    14.09.2023 Sri Lanka - Pakistan 252:252
    24.07.2023 Sri Lanka - Pakistan 166:178
    16.07.2023 Sri Lanka - Pakistan 312:221
    11.09.2022 Pakistan - Sri Lanka 147:170
    Latest results of Pakistan
    21.09.2025 India - Pakistan 174:171
    17.09.2025 United Arab Emirates - Pakistan 105:146
    14.09.2025 India - Pakistan 131:127
    12.09.2025 Oman - Pakistan 67:160
    07.09.2025 Afghanistan - Pakistan 66:141
    Latest results of Sri Lanka
    20.09.2025 Bangladesh - Sri Lanka 169:168
    18.09.2025 Afghanistan - Sri Lanka 169:171
    15.09.2025 Hong Kong - Sri Lanka 149:153
    13.09.2025 Bangladesh - Sri Lanka 139:140
    07.09.2025 Zimbabwe - Sri Lanka 191:193
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1IndiaPakistan150 : 146