Result
1:1
03/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 30
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (313/428) | 70% (244/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (313/428) | 70% (244/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/72) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (64/110) | 48% (52/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.50 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Villiger L. ⚽,
- 3', Ati Zigi L. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 1, Akolo C. ⚽,
- 31', Knezevic S. 🟨,
- 34', Vasic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 60', Spadanuda K. ↓, Rrudhani D. ↑,
- 61', Klidje T. ↓, Grbic A. ↑,
- 67', Akolo C. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
- 67', Geubbels W. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 67', Quintilla J. ↓, Toma B. ↑,
- 74', Nsame J. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 83', Witzig C. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
- 90', Freimann B. M. ↓, Lofgren J. ↑,
- 90+4', Daschner L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
40.3% | Draw
25.8% | St. Gallen
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Luzern - St. Gallen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.2) |
3.66
(3.66) |
2.78 ↓
(2.96) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Luzern - St. Gallen?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 47.8% – 85.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Luzern won 3.
- Recent matches Luzern is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- St. Gallen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Luzern could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Luzern: Beka I.
(Injury)
Chader S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Fazliji B.
(Injury)
Gortler L.
(Yellow Cards)
Karlen G.
(Knee Injury)
Nuhu M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luzern: Owusu T.
(Muscle Injury)
Rrudhani D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Gallen: Stevanovic M.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Luzern won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 36:33 (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Luzern won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against St. Gallen?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Luzern?
St. Gallen has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - St. Gallen were as follows:
02.02.2025
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
2:0
21.09.2024
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
2:3
01.04.2024
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
1:1
04.02.2024
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
1:0
06.08.2023
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
2:1
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Young Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Luzern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Sion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | St. Gallen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Thun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Winterthur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Lugano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
