Result
0:1
24/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/267) | 74% (234/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (195/267) | 74% (234/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 61% (69/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Neziri B. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Loretz P. 🟨,
- 65', Okoroji C. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
- 66', Stanic J. 🟨,
- 67', Von Moos J. 🟨,
- 68', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
- 71', Von Moos J. ↓, Silva Ferreira L. M. ↑,
- 72', Vogt A. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
- 72', Balde A. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
- 72', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,
- 76', Spadanuda K. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
- 77', Owusu T. 🟨,
- 80', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
- 82', Owusu T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 82', Di Giusto M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 90+5', Knezevic S. 🟨,
- 90+6', Witzig C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
St. Gallen
42.5% | Draw
26.1% | Luzern
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Gallen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
St. Gallen - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.02) |
3.67 ↓
(3.75) |
3 ↓
(3.26) |
4.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Luzern?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
St. Gallen will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 0.
- St. Gallen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luzern's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, St. Gallen has had a series of home games.
- St. Gallen might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Ambrosius S.
(Injury)
Ati Zigi L.
(Injury)
Daschner L.
(Knee Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Villiger L.
(Knee Injury)
Von Moos J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Luzern?
St. Gallen has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against St. Gallen?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Luzern were as follows:
03.04.2025
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
1:1
02.02.2025
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
2:0
21.09.2024
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
2:3
01.04.2024
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
1:1
04.02.2024
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
1:0
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Gallen | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Thun | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Basel | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Zurich | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Luzern | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Sion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Grasshoppers | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lugano | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 11 | Servette | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
