Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 33
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 71% (237/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (254/365) | 71% (237/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (33/82) | 30% (20/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (75/128) | 55% (68/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Boukhalfa C. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Vasovic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Vandermersch H. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
- 48', Abe T. 🟨,
- 55', Dantas R. 🟨,
- 66', Konietzke C. ↓, Weibel N. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Balde A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Kabwit O. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 74', Dantas R. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Villiger L. ⚽, Ciganiks A. (A),
- 80', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 82', Okoroji C. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 84', Villiger L. ↓, Meyer S. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Balde A. ⚽,
- 89', Balde A. ↓, Fazliji B. ↑,
- 90+1', Vogt A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kleine-Bekel C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luzern
47.1% | Draw
23.3% | St. Gallen
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Luzern - St. Gallen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.29) |
4.03 ↑
(3.68) |
3.16 ↑
(2.72) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Luzern - St. Gallen?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 6 - 75%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luzern: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Luzern is Super League (Relegation Group )
- St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 3.
- Recent performances by Luzern have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Gallen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Luzern: Karweina S.
(Muscle Injury)
Knezevic S.
(Foot Injury)
Silva Ferreira L. M.
(Yellow Cards)
Von Moos J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Daschner L.
(Yellow Cards)
Dumrath B.
(Back Injury)
Gortler L.
(Yellow Cards)
Neziri B.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Verinac A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St. Gallen: Witzig C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against St. Gallen?
Luzern has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Luzern?
St. Gallen has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luzern - St. Gallen were as follows:
01.02.2026
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
2:2
24.08.2025
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
0:1
03.04.2025
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
1:1
02.02.2025
Luzern
-
St. Gallen
2:0
21.09.2024
St. Gallen
-
Luzern
2:3
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76:41 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:41 | 25 | 63 |
| 3 | Lugano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 60 |
| 4 | Basel | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54:48 | 6 | 56 |
| 5 | Sion | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 55 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 66:62 | 4 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
