Result
2:2
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/297) | 69% (209/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.19 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (199/297) | 69% (209/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (48/92) | 44% (36/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (65/126) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 3.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Imeri K. 🟨,
- 11', Balde A. 🟨,
- 11', Burki M. 🟨,
- 22', Vandermersch H. 🟨,
- 37', Bamert J. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Gortler L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', Matoshi V. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Bertone L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', 2 - 1, Montolio G. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
- 69', Balde A. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
- 72', Kait M. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 72', Imeri K. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
- 77', Matoshi V. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 77', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
- 81', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Weibel N. ↑,
- 82', Vogt A. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
- 83', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 88', Rastoder E. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Witzig C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Thun
49.4% | Draw
24.1% | St. Gallen
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Thun - St. Gallen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.97) |
3.87 ↑
(3.7) |
3.54 ↑
(3.33) |
6.4%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Thun - St. Gallen?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 58.8% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 2.
- Thun has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- St. Gallen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Thun could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thun won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:39. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against St. Gallen?
Thun has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Thun?
St. Gallen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - St. Gallen were as follows:
13.12.2025
Thun
-
St. Gallen
0:2
04.10.2025
St. Gallen
-
Thun
1:2
Latest results of St. Gallen
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 71:33 | 38 | 71 |
| 2 | St. Gallen ✔ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Lugano ✔ | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:37 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Basel ✔ | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Sion | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 60:55 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Luzern | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 58:56 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45:49 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Servette ✔ | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | Zurich ✔ | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 34:80 | -46 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
St. Gallen is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Servette is Super League (Relegation Group )
Zurich is Super League (Relegation Group )
Grasshoppers is Super League (Relegation Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
