Brisbane Broncos vs St. George Illawarra Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
26:30
18/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL

Match Stats

Tries
45
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
45
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
10083
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
176177
Metres Run With Ball
17561605

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (12 - 4)
  • 16', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 17', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Mam E. (Try),
  • 27', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 32', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 35', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 26)
  • 46', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
  • 50', Reynolds A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 53', Gutherson C. (Try),
  • 54', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 58', Liddle J. (Try),
  • 58', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Staggs K. (Try),
  • 64', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Sloan T. (Try),
  • 68', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 74', Gutherson C. (Try),
  • 75', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 78', Arthars J. (Try),
  • 78', Reynolds A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Broncos
71.7%
Draw
3.8%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 3.9% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 3.4% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Broncos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. George Illawarra Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.33)
    23.76
    (23.8)
    3.82
    (3.49)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 31:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
    • Brisbane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, St. George Illawarra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brisbane is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 430:377. (average 22.6:19.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 302:229. (average 25.2:19.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons 26:30
    18.03.2023 Brisbane Broncos - St. George Illawarra Dragons 40:18
    03.09.2022 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Brisbane Broncos 16:12
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2