St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights
Result
20:6
30/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Tries
31
Conversion Goals
31
Conversion Goal Attempts
41
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
80100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
193177
Metres Run With Ball
18891598

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (18 - 0)
  • 21', Su'A J. (Try),
  • 23', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Gutherson C. (Try),
  • 27', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Tonga L. (Try),
  • 39', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 6)
  • 63', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Pearce-Paul K. (Try),
  • 71', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
60.6%
Draw
4.2%
Newcastle Knights
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 3.6% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 3.7% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.44)
    21.2
    (26)
    2.6
    (2.89)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, St. George Illawarra has had a series of away games.
    • St. George Illawarra could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 380:401. (average 19:20.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 212:203. (average 23.6:22.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights were as follows:
    05.04.2024 Newcastle Knights - St. George Illawarra Dragons 30:10
    02.09.2023 St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights 12:32
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2